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<blockquote data-quote="ibeattetris" data-source="post: 925911" data-attributes="member: 1175"><p>You are pretty spot on. What I think people also misunderstand is moneyball helps teams over the course of a season (or even multiple seasons), it isn’t really meant for 5 and 7 game series. At some point, you have to get lucky (or not get unlucky). Even if you are 60% to win each game (which in the playoffs is not likely) your chance of losing the series is pretty high. If you win 60% of your 162 games though, you’re doing well (97 wins). </p><p></p><p>And to those saying the dodgers aren’t using “moneyball”, yes, they certainly are. They are just capable of scaling it beyond what small markets are capable of. That’s why the super low market teams aren’t competitive, since everyone is not playing the same sabermetric game.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ibeattetris, post: 925911, member: 1175"] You are pretty spot on. What I think people also misunderstand is moneyball helps teams over the course of a season (or even multiple seasons), it isn’t really meant for 5 and 7 game series. At some point, you have to get lucky (or not get unlucky). Even if you are 60% to win each game (which in the playoffs is not likely) your chance of losing the series is pretty high. If you win 60% of your 162 games though, you’re doing well (97 wins). And to those saying the dodgers aren’t using “moneyball”, yes, they certainly are. They are just capable of scaling it beyond what small markets are capable of. That’s why the super low market teams aren’t competitive, since everyone is not playing the same sabermetric game. [/QUOTE]
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