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Is Collins nasty enough to be a HC ?
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<blockquote data-quote="GT_EE78" data-source="post: 750828" data-attributes="member: 3434"><p>I have doubts that developing 3 star only will ever move the needle.</p><p>I think I'm more optimistic than you regarding achievability.</p><p>I also prefer using the 2020 talent composite for basis (linked below) rather than raw data and averaging.</p><p>talent isn't the only thing so we'll need to be above average at coaching,development and scouting the 3 stars.</p><p>I think the magic number to consistently be top 25 in talent is <strong>5.5 per year</strong>(4 or 5 star talent is assumed)(analysis below)</p><p>Note - I'm just looking at % talent. It isn't rocket science.</p><p></p><p>UGA,Bama,OSU average 80% talent - that ain't gonna be us</p><p>Top 10 average 64% talent - thats difficult even for one year</p><p>11-25 average 40% talent (that's 8.5/yr assuming no redshirts) - further breakdown is needed</p><p>11-15 average 51% talent</p><p>16-20 average 42% talent</p><p>21-25 average 26% talent (this is where 5.5 is derived)</p><p></p><p>CGC got 27% talent last year (7 of 26) - and yes i counted transfers where 247 doesn't</p><p>21-25 aren't world beaters. It's SC,NC,Miss St,Az St,Neb</p><p>Our roster is currently at 16% (13 of 82) We just need to see this <strong>keep rising</strong></p><p>this year recruiting isn't going as well as last year but there's time to turn it around. </p><p>think a recruit,transfer,flip and upgrade and you're there</p><p>FSU proves this method of forecasting isn't foolproof.</p><p>Bama and Clemson prove that it's pretty darn good.</p><p>CGC's hype is recruiting primarily. If he can't achieve this he won't last 7 years.</p><p>but we need to be patient.Patience is a Virtue. Virtue isn't always as much fun as the alternatives.</p><p></p><p>I collected data from the link below to tabulate those averages.forgive errors cuz i didn't use a calculator.</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://247sports.com/Season/2020-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/[/URL]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GT_EE78, post: 750828, member: 3434"] I have doubts that developing 3 star only will ever move the needle. I think I'm more optimistic than you regarding achievability. I also prefer using the 2020 talent composite for basis (linked below) rather than raw data and averaging. talent isn't the only thing so we'll need to be above average at coaching,development and scouting the 3 stars. I think the magic number to consistently be top 25 in talent is [B]5.5 per year[/B](4 or 5 star talent is assumed)(analysis below) Note - I'm just looking at % talent. It isn't rocket science. UGA,Bama,OSU average 80% talent - that ain't gonna be us Top 10 average 64% talent - thats difficult even for one year 11-25 average 40% talent (that's 8.5/yr assuming no redshirts) - further breakdown is needed 11-15 average 51% talent 16-20 average 42% talent 21-25 average 26% talent (this is where 5.5 is derived) CGC got 27% talent last year (7 of 26) - and yes i counted transfers where 247 doesn't 21-25 aren't world beaters. It's SC,NC,Miss St,Az St,Neb Our roster is currently at 16% (13 of 82) We just need to see this [B]keep rising[/B] this year recruiting isn't going as well as last year but there's time to turn it around. think a recruit,transfer,flip and upgrade and you're there FSU proves this method of forecasting isn't foolproof. Bama and Clemson prove that it's pretty darn good. CGC's hype is recruiting primarily. If he can't achieve this he won't last 7 years. but we need to be patient.Patience is a Virtue. Virtue isn't always as much fun as the alternatives. I collected data from the link below to tabulate those averages.forgive errors cuz i didn't use a calculator. [URL unfurl="true"]https://247sports.com/Season/2020-Football/CollegeTeamTalentComposite/[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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