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How Important is Recruiting?
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<blockquote data-quote="cpf2001" data-source="post: 914375" data-attributes="member: 6459"><p>Recruiting is one of those things where the difference between 1 and 5 is actually a lot bigger than the difference between 15 and 20 or 40 and 45.</p><p></p><p>A lot of distributions are like that - the differences at the edges are bigger than in the middle. It's normal. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite2" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>By class rank and "points" per Rivals for 2023:</p><p>Top is 3035 for Alabama</p><p>5th is 2621 for UGA (-414 points)</p><p>15th is 1957 for Arkansas (-664 points for double the jump)</p><p>20th is 1695 for TCU (-262 this time for five spots)</p><p>40th is 1258 for Michigan State (-437 points, now covering 20 spots)</p><p>45th is 1230 for Virginia Tech (-28 points)</p><p></p><p>Or, by average stars right now per Rivals for 2023:</p><p>Top is 4.05 for OSU</p><p>5th is 3.81 for Texas (-0.24)</p><p>15 is 3.58 for MichSt (-0.23... for twice the drop in the list rankings!)</p><p>20th is 3.45 for Oregon (-0.13 - the gap between five spots becomes about half the size as between 1 and 5).</p><p>40th is 3.12 for Texas Tech (-0.33 but for 20 spots)</p><p>45th is 3.06 for BC (-0.06)</p><p></p><p>Apologies if some of those second ones are slightly off, Rivals doesn't re-rank when you sort by average stars so I was counting the old fashioned way. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite2" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>If you don't buy into recruiting rankings at all: you see the same in the NFL draft. Last year UGA had 15 and the second most had 10. You have to go outside the top 10 to find another 5-player dropoff to equal the one between #1 and #2. Active players on roster? A drop of 7 between Alabama and LSU at the top; a drop of 2 between Clemson and Florida at 10 and 11. And then a long slow decline.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="cpf2001, post: 914375, member: 6459"] Recruiting is one of those things where the difference between 1 and 5 is actually a lot bigger than the difference between 15 and 20 or 40 and 45. A lot of distributions are like that - the differences at the edges are bigger than in the middle. It's normal. ;) By class rank and "points" per Rivals for 2023: Top is 3035 for Alabama 5th is 2621 for UGA (-414 points) 15th is 1957 for Arkansas (-664 points for double the jump) 20th is 1695 for TCU (-262 this time for five spots) 40th is 1258 for Michigan State (-437 points, now covering 20 spots) 45th is 1230 for Virginia Tech (-28 points) Or, by average stars right now per Rivals for 2023: Top is 4.05 for OSU 5th is 3.81 for Texas (-0.24) 15 is 3.58 for MichSt (-0.23... for twice the drop in the list rankings!) 20th is 3.45 for Oregon (-0.13 - the gap between five spots becomes about half the size as between 1 and 5). 40th is 3.12 for Texas Tech (-0.33 but for 20 spots) 45th is 3.06 for BC (-0.06) Apologies if some of those second ones are slightly off, Rivals doesn't re-rank when you sort by average stars so I was counting the old fashioned way. ;) If you don't buy into recruiting rankings at all: you see the same in the NFL draft. Last year UGA had 15 and the second most had 10. You have to go outside the top 10 to find another 5-player dropoff to equal the one between #1 and #2. Active players on roster? A drop of 7 between Alabama and LSU at the top; a drop of 2 between Clemson and Florida at 10 and 11. And then a long slow decline. [/QUOTE]
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