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How Good Is Recruiting Data at Predicting End of Season Power Ranking Performance?
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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 40703" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Boomer, for you, here is the study. You are correct.</p><p></p><p>There is about a 50%+ correlation between the average of the 4 previous years team Power Ranking and the subsequent year recruiting class ranking. So if you take the average of the Power Ranking of each one of the D1 schools for 2010 through 2013, that average is 56% correlated with the 2014 recruiting class ranking for the particular school. {About the same correlation for linear or exponential curve fitting.}</p><p></p><p>But all that really shows is that the better players want to play in the better football programs. No one can determine the motivation of how recruit rankings are generated from the level of data I have. To do that, you have to look at individual recruit rankings. </p><p></p><p>I believe that it is entirely rational and justified to reevaluate a recruits ranking when a successful program offers him. "Well when events change, I change my mind. What do you do?"</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 40703, member: 322"] Boomer, for you, here is the study. You are correct. There is about a 50%+ correlation between the average of the 4 previous years team Power Ranking and the subsequent year recruiting class ranking. So if you take the average of the Power Ranking of each one of the D1 schools for 2010 through 2013, that average is 56% correlated with the 2014 recruiting class ranking for the particular school. {About the same correlation for linear or exponential curve fitting.} But all that really shows is that the better players want to play in the better football programs. No one can determine the motivation of how recruit rankings are generated from the level of data I have. To do that, you have to look at individual recruit rankings. I believe that it is entirely rational and justified to reevaluate a recruits ranking when a successful program offers him. "Well when events change, I change my mind. What do you do?" [/QUOTE]
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How Good Is Recruiting Data at Predicting End of Season Power Ranking Performance?
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