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Harvin Questionable
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<blockquote data-quote="jeffgt14" data-source="post: 343732" data-attributes="member: 1059"><p>It’s just a toss up to me. Like I said it’s 50% while running plays defenses are not practicing against. I found some data that shows the 4th and 2 conversion rate from 2009-2015 which may provide some decent data on what a 2pt conversion success rate would be as well. 188/373 so 50% there as well (4th and 1 rate is 64%). The outlier with the 4th and 2 data though is on several occasions you have more field behind you so defenses can’t play up as much. So if you’re 50% with safeties playing off a bit, what percentage will you be with a more aggressive defense?</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="jeffgt14, post: 343732, member: 1059"] It’s just a toss up to me. Like I said it’s 50% while running plays defenses are not practicing against. I found some data that shows the 4th and 2 conversion rate from 2009-2015 which may provide some decent data on what a 2pt conversion success rate would be as well. 188/373 so 50% there as well (4th and 1 rate is 64%). The outlier with the 4th and 2 data though is on several occasions you have more field behind you so defenses can’t play up as much. So if you’re 50% with safeties playing off a bit, what percentage will you be with a more aggressive defense? [/QUOTE]
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