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GT secondary ranked #103 by PFF
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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 772257" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>Here’s one of the two ESPN ACC beat writers giving position rankings from before the season:</p><p>[MEDIA=twitter]1261314637917798402[/MEDIA]</p><p></p><p>Based on stats and a few other items, <a href="https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1KxYLcLA4Gd2HVZwx4erd2GpBzbu3DMV4YVJKALfL7UI/htmlview" target="_blank">he put together this spreadsheet</a>, but there was less of an “eye test” because there wasn’t a spring season to look at.</p><p></p><p>Our DB’s were forecast at #7. It’s one of the better position groupings on the team (RB was #5), but it’s middle of the ACC. QB, OL, and WR were ranked last.</p><p></p><p>To look how the forecast did vs actual, let’s look at one of the positions. QB was forecasting James Graham, but Sims was our QB this year. Graham was the bottom ranked QB in QBR for the ACC last season. <a href="https://www.espn.com/college-football/qbr/_/group/1" target="_blank">Sims was 13th out of 15, including Notre Dame.</a> Our QB performance was improved from last year, but not by a lot.</p><p></p><p>In Passing Defense, we were next to the bottom (UVA), at 270 yards per game. Our opponents QBR was 139.5–ahead of Duke, FSU, and UVA. Our Pass Defense wasn’t the worst, but it was bottom third of the league. I can look for some of the other ratings, but my view is that the DL improved a little from last year, but the defensive backfield regressed.</p><p></p><p>Let’s go back to the question of “the other team’s WRs are getting open, but ours aren’t, is it scheme?”. Back when we were still getting the couch coaching/film breakdown, we had some footage with analysis that some of our DBs were doing fundamentally unsound things and getting beat (hips turned the wrong way, not jamming the opposing receiver at the line, etc.). To me, that says “more of an execution problem that a scheme problem”.</p><p></p><p>Also, if our wide receivers aren’t getting open, and theirs are, that’s also something that happens when their DBs are playing better than our WRs, and their WRs are playing better than our DBs. Better pass blocking for our opponents helps too.</p><p></p><p>For scheme, with a 4-2-5 or a 3-2-5, you’ve still got the same basic man to man vs cover 2 vs cover 3/4 vs Tampa 2 coverages. We’re swapping a beefy safety for an OLB to get someone who’s faster in coverage, but it’s still the same coverage. The DB schemes are pretty similar regardless of the overall scheme.</p><p></p><p>Maybe you’d prefer a different kind of coverage—more zone or more man-to-man. From my recollection during the games, if we got burned in man to man, people asked why we weren’t in zone, and asked the opposite when we got burned in a “soft zone”.</p><p></p><p>We probably can pick smarter schemes and smarter tactics than we are. I don’t think that was the majority of our problem this year.</p><p></p><p>(Numbers people, including [USER=1175]@ibeattetris[/USER]-> there’s a Reddit with some good resources, including this listing: [MEDIA=reddit]CFBAnalysis/comments/cgwerf[/MEDIA]).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 772257, member: 282"] Here’s one of the two ESPN ACC beat writers giving position rankings from before the season: [MEDIA=twitter]1261314637917798402[/MEDIA] Based on stats and a few other items, [URL='https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/1KxYLcLA4Gd2HVZwx4erd2GpBzbu3DMV4YVJKALfL7UI/htmlview']he put together this spreadsheet[/URL], but there was less of an “eye test” because there wasn’t a spring season to look at. Our DB’s were forecast at #7. It’s one of the better position groupings on the team (RB was #5), but it’s middle of the ACC. QB, OL, and WR were ranked last. To look how the forecast did vs actual, let’s look at one of the positions. QB was forecasting James Graham, but Sims was our QB this year. Graham was the bottom ranked QB in QBR for the ACC last season. [URL='https://www.espn.com/college-football/qbr/_/group/1']Sims was 13th out of 15, including Notre Dame.[/URL] Our QB performance was improved from last year, but not by a lot. In Passing Defense, we were next to the bottom (UVA), at 270 yards per game. Our opponents QBR was 139.5–ahead of Duke, FSU, and UVA. Our Pass Defense wasn’t the worst, but it was bottom third of the league. I can look for some of the other ratings, but my view is that the DL improved a little from last year, but the defensive backfield regressed. Let’s go back to the question of “the other team’s WRs are getting open, but ours aren’t, is it scheme?”. Back when we were still getting the couch coaching/film breakdown, we had some footage with analysis that some of our DBs were doing fundamentally unsound things and getting beat (hips turned the wrong way, not jamming the opposing receiver at the line, etc.). To me, that says “more of an execution problem that a scheme problem”. Also, if our wide receivers aren’t getting open, and theirs are, that’s also something that happens when their DBs are playing better than our WRs, and their WRs are playing better than our DBs. Better pass blocking for our opponents helps too. For scheme, with a 4-2-5 or a 3-2-5, you’ve still got the same basic man to man vs cover 2 vs cover 3/4 vs Tampa 2 coverages. We’re swapping a beefy safety for an OLB to get someone who’s faster in coverage, but it’s still the same coverage. The DB schemes are pretty similar regardless of the overall scheme. Maybe you’d prefer a different kind of coverage—more zone or more man-to-man. From my recollection during the games, if we got burned in man to man, people asked why we weren’t in zone, and asked the opposite when we got burned in a “soft zone”. We probably can pick smarter schemes and smarter tactics than we are. I don’t think that was the majority of our problem this year. (Numbers people, including [USER=1175]@ibeattetris[/USER]-> there’s a Reddit with some good resources, including this listing: [MEDIA=reddit]CFBAnalysis/comments/cgwerf[/MEDIA]). [/QUOTE]
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