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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 867852" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>At this point, I don’t know what we’ll see. </p><ol> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Do we have enough talent on offense? definitely at the skill positions. We have enough talent to be in the top half of the ACC, even losing Gibbs, McGowan, and other players. </li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">Can we block well enough on offense to win? We lost players to graduation and injury. We’ve added others through transfer. Key is back at OL coach. We had multiple times during the year where a player looked confused by a stunt or other assignment. I’ve heard, but don’t know first hand, that we do more cross-training than most teams (moving players from left to right, guard to tackle, etc). Is this year different enough in coaching or experience or new players that the line gels and is at least average?</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">What difference will the coaching changes make on offense? We have a new OC/TE coach, a new QB coach, and a new RB coach. Is the scheme a better fit for Sims? Does the QB coaching improve the reads?</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">The defense has player changes all over the secondary, at LB, and on the line due to graduation and transfers. When you lose production off of a defense that’s had bad results, that’s a negative sign unless you have a strong influx of talent through recruiting or the portal.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ol">We have a new DL coach, and new DB coach, and a new LB coach. That looks like a revamp on paper. One of the big hopes for this team is that the new coaches make a massive change for the better in this defense. </li> </ol><p>To me, the unknowns for this team are as big as the year that Collins started. There are so many moving parts that if everything meshes together beautifully, you could see eight or nine wins. If nothing meshes, you could see two. </p><p></p><p>I have a difficult time seeing a massive miracle turnaround in one season with the same head coach—even a new head coach usually takes a few years of year-over-year improvement to turn a team around. While eight or nine wins is possible, it’s not really likely unless Collins has or had a life-changing revelation that changes up the direction of the team. </p><p></p><p>Having seen people in a “win or lose your job” situation, there’s usually an intense effort to save things, but it rarely works out. Occasionally, you’ll see someone with nothing to lose do all the things they wanted to do but didn’t because of peer pressure. I haven’t seen anything like that yet. </p><p></p><p>This team desperately needs to believe that they can win if they do the right things and don't freelance. The first four games are Clemson, WCU, Ole Miss, and UCF. If we're 2-2 after the first four, it's a struggle to win 6 games. If we're 1-3, we'll do well to win 4 total. The success of the season really depends on getting at least two upsets out of the first four games. The coaches really need to pull out all the stops. </p><p></p><p>The potential to win is definitely there. I have seen teams at rock bottom turn in around (they kicked a bunch of stars off the team and kept the ones who did what the coaches needed them to do). </p><p></p><p>The over/under on the team is probably 4 1/2 wins right now. I'll go "over" with 5.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 867852, member: 282"] At this point, I don’t know what we’ll see. [LIST=1] [*]Do we have enough talent on offense? definitely at the skill positions. We have enough talent to be in the top half of the ACC, even losing Gibbs, McGowan, and other players. [*]Can we block well enough on offense to win? We lost players to graduation and injury. We’ve added others through transfer. Key is back at OL coach. We had multiple times during the year where a player looked confused by a stunt or other assignment. I’ve heard, but don’t know first hand, that we do more cross-training than most teams (moving players from left to right, guard to tackle, etc). Is this year different enough in coaching or experience or new players that the line gels and is at least average? [*]What difference will the coaching changes make on offense? We have a new OC/TE coach, a new QB coach, and a new RB coach. Is the scheme a better fit for Sims? Does the QB coaching improve the reads? [*]The defense has player changes all over the secondary, at LB, and on the line due to graduation and transfers. When you lose production off of a defense that’s had bad results, that’s a negative sign unless you have a strong influx of talent through recruiting or the portal. [*]We have a new DL coach, and new DB coach, and a new LB coach. That looks like a revamp on paper. One of the big hopes for this team is that the new coaches make a massive change for the better in this defense. [/LIST] To me, the unknowns for this team are as big as the year that Collins started. There are so many moving parts that if everything meshes together beautifully, you could see eight or nine wins. If nothing meshes, you could see two. I have a difficult time seeing a massive miracle turnaround in one season with the same head coach—even a new head coach usually takes a few years of year-over-year improvement to turn a team around. While eight or nine wins is possible, it’s not really likely unless Collins has or had a life-changing revelation that changes up the direction of the team. Having seen people in a “win or lose your job” situation, there’s usually an intense effort to save things, but it rarely works out. Occasionally, you’ll see someone with nothing to lose do all the things they wanted to do but didn’t because of peer pressure. I haven’t seen anything like that yet. This team desperately needs to believe that they can win if they do the right things and don't freelance. The first four games are Clemson, WCU, Ole Miss, and UCF. If we're 2-2 after the first four, it's a struggle to win 6 games. If we're 1-3, we'll do well to win 4 total. The success of the season really depends on getting at least two upsets out of the first four games. The coaches really need to pull out all the stops. The potential to win is definitely there. I have seen teams at rock bottom turn in around (they kicked a bunch of stars off the team and kept the ones who did what the coaches needed them to do). The over/under on the team is probably 4 1/2 wins right now. I'll go "over" with 5. [/QUOTE]
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