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Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Predictions #GTvsUNC
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<blockquote data-quote="4shotB" data-source="post: 482289" data-attributes="member: 844"><p>If the probability of GT losing today is inversely proportional and exactly the same as the probability of GT winning given that the Swarm has picked them to win, then we can say that the on field results are dependent on the Swarm poll. But, for example, GT loses today given that our collective brain trust has overwhelmingly picked them to win, we can say with something approaching a 99.8% level of confidence that these two things (results and Swarm poll) are independent events, if I recall my probability theories correctly. As someone who is keenly interested in your hypothesis, I will be watching today's event with a keen interest in proving/disproving dependency. Thusly I will forego any prognostication. I do not want to introduce bias into this observational study. </p><p>If we can prove dependency, we can simply impose a rule that all Swarm poll participants must pick GT to lose in all future events, thus ensuring we win the remainder of our games!!!!</p><p>It's math y'all....let's use it to our advantage.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="4shotB, post: 482289, member: 844"] If the probability of GT losing today is inversely proportional and exactly the same as the probability of GT winning given that the Swarm has picked them to win, then we can say that the on field results are dependent on the Swarm poll. But, for example, GT loses today given that our collective brain trust has overwhelmingly picked them to win, we can say with something approaching a 99.8% level of confidence that these two things (results and Swarm poll) are independent events, if I recall my probability theories correctly. As someone who is keenly interested in your hypothesis, I will be watching today's event with a keen interest in proving/disproving dependency. Thusly I will forego any prognostication. I do not want to introduce bias into this observational study. If we can prove dependency, we can simply impose a rule that all Swarm poll participants must pick GT to lose in all future events, thus ensuring we win the remainder of our games!!!! It's math y'all....let's use it to our advantage. [/QUOTE]
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Georgia Tech vs. North Carolina Predictions #GTvsUNC
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