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<blockquote data-quote="inGTwetrust" data-source="post: 925917" data-attributes="member: 787"><p>My take … after spending way too much time thinking about this.</p><p></p><p><strong>Offensive Game Plan & Play Calling: C+ with the hopes of getting to a B+</strong></p><p>How have his offenses performed at his most recent stops? To me – MTSU was a pretty good run and Southern Miss wasn’t bad (relatively speaking). Ark State was rough.</p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><strong>OFEI Rank</strong></td><td><strong>2012</strong></td><td><strong>2013</strong></td><td><strong>2014</strong></td><td><strong>2015</strong></td><td><strong>2016</strong></td><td><strong>2017</strong></td><td><strong>2018</strong></td><td><strong>2019</strong></td><td><strong>2020</strong></td><td><strong>2021</strong></td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td><strong>61</strong></td><td><strong>81</strong></td><td><strong>78</strong></td><td><strong>61</strong></td><td>55</td><td>110</td><td>79</td><td>74</td><td>91</td><td>115</td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td>22</td><td>95</td><td>67</td><td>80</td><td><strong>100</strong></td><td><strong>92</strong></td><td><strong>82</strong></td><td>80</td><td>42</td><td>105</td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td>117</td><td>123</td><td>105</td><td>30</td><td>86</td><td>102</td><td>120</td><td><strong>97</strong></td><td>96</td><td>130</td></tr></table><p></p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><strong>Off PPD Rank</strong></td><td><strong>2012</strong></td><td><strong>2013</strong></td><td><strong>2014</strong></td><td><strong>2015</strong></td><td><strong>2016</strong></td><td><strong>2017</strong></td><td><strong>2018</strong></td><td><strong>2019</strong></td><td><strong>2020</strong></td><td><strong>2021</strong></td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td><strong>35</strong></td><td><strong>72</strong></td><td><strong>62</strong></td><td><strong>59</strong></td><td>16</td><td>82</td><td>65</td><td>80</td><td>94</td><td>93</td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td>20</td><td>69</td><td>39</td><td>44</td><td><strong>90</strong></td><td><strong>38</strong></td><td><strong>70</strong></td><td>45</td><td>42</td><td>106</td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td>115</td><td>119</td><td>115</td><td>10</td><td>56</td><td>67</td><td>104</td><td><strong>77</strong></td><td>73</td><td>128</td></tr></table><p></p><p>This is looking at what percentile the offense finished – relative to the conference. Compared to the rest of the conference he typically finished about middle of the pack. In the ACC, if he can mirror those results, our OFEI & PPD would rank somewhere around 50 - 60.</p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td>OFEI Rank</td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2012</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2013</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2014</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2015</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2016</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2017</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2018</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2019</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2020</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2021</strong></p> </td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>60%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>64%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>46%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>69%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">69%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">36%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">64%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">79%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">54%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">21%</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td><p style="text-align: center">90%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">50%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">64%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">73%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>45%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>50%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>50%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">40%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">60%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">50%</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td><p style="text-align: center">0%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">7%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">23%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">85%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">62%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">50%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">21%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>43</strong>%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">46%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">0%</p> </td></tr></table><p></p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td>Off PPD</td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2012</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2013</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2014</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2015</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2016</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2017</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2018</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2019</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2020</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>2021</strong></p> </td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>60%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>57%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>54%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>69%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">69%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">36%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">71%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">43%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">31%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">36%</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td><p style="text-align: center">90%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">50%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">73%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">73%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>45%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>75%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>40%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">30%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">60%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">30%</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td><p style="text-align: center">0%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">7%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">15%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">85%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">54%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">50%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">29%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>50%</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">62%</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">0%</p> </td></tr></table><p></p><p>He also has over a decade experience as an OC & play caller. He has been given credit for playing an important role on UGA’s coaching staff. The experience is there – so that’s a win. I’m hopeful he has picked up a lot from how UGA runs things; runs the program, gameplans, an offense, etc. Sure they have talent that we won’t, but they are also coached up as good as anyone.</p><p></p><p><strong>Recruiting : B </strong></p><p>I’d bet we maintain the historical level of GT recruiting. I don’t see him elevating recruiting like Choice. Hard to chalk much up to him as OC when it comes to recruiting – especially his stop at Southern Miss – but history says we should expect … well for history to repeat itself.</p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><strong>Class Ranking</strong></td><td><p style="text-align: center">Pre BF</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>BF</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">Post BF</p> </td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td><p style="text-align: center"></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>94 (’12 – ’15)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">100 (’16 – ’21)</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td><p style="text-align: center">93 (’12 – ’15)</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>96 (’16 – ‘18)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">97 (’19 – ’21)</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td><p style="text-align: center">84 (’12 – ’18)</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>85 (’19)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">96 (’20 – ’21)</p> </td></tr></table><p></p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><td><strong>Avg Recruit Rating</strong></td><td><p style="text-align: center">Pre BF</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>BF</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">Post BF</p> </td></tr><tr><td>MTSU</td><td></td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>78.0 (’12 – ’15)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">79.8 (’16 – ’21)</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Ark State</td><td><p style="text-align: center">79.1 (’12 – ’15)</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>79.8 (’16 – ‘18)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">81.3 (’19 – ’21)</p> </td></tr><tr><td>Southern Miss</td><td><p style="text-align: center">79.8 (’12 – ’18)</p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center"><strong>81.3 (’19)</strong></p> </td><td><p style="text-align: center">82.6 (’20 – ’21)</p> </td></tr></table><p></p><p></p><p><strong>Overall Expectations / Grade: B</strong></p><p>I see this as a solid, stabilizing hire. I think expectations should be for him to right the ship, but not make us an elite offense. I’d conservatively guess an offense in the 60-75 range next year and 45-60 from year 2 on. If that's not enough by year 3 or 4, the job will hopefully be much more attractive (with better funding?) that we can target a bigger fish.</p><p></p><p>Some hope? His OFEI and PPD rankings seem to historically outperform the teams overall recruiting ranking. Should we get our recruiting closer to top 40, maybe we see some offenses in the top 30-40 range after all. The fact that UGA is upset (from what I can find) at him leaving makes me think at the worst – it’s not a bad hire.</p><p></p><p></p><p></p><p>I have 2 big hang-ups ….</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Where is all of this $$$ we have for a staff going? Are we adding more support staff or are we overpaying for Buster?</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">The staff that we are adding – very much seem to fit the Key personality of get to work. But – do we have any “elite” recruiters? Winning cures all, but getting a few stud transfers/recruits would be a nice jump start.</li> </ul></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="inGTwetrust, post: 925917, member: 787"] My take … after spending way too much time thinking about this. [B]Offensive Game Plan & Play Calling: C+ with the hopes of getting to a B+[/B] How have his offenses performed at his most recent stops? To me – MTSU was a pretty good run and Southern Miss wasn’t bad (relatively speaking). Ark State was rough. [TABLE] [TR] [TD][B]OFEI Rank[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2012[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2013[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2014[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2015[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2016[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2017[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2018[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2019[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2020[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2021[/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][B]61[/B][/TD] [TD][B]81[/B][/TD] [TD][B]78[/B][/TD] [TD][B]61[/B][/TD] [TD]55[/TD] [TD]110[/TD] [TD]79[/TD] [TD]74[/TD] [TD]91[/TD] [TD]115[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]95[/TD] [TD]67[/TD] [TD]80[/TD] [TD][B]100[/B][/TD] [TD][B]92[/B][/TD] [TD][B]82[/B][/TD] [TD]80[/TD] [TD]42[/TD] [TD]105[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD]117[/TD] [TD]123[/TD] [TD]105[/TD] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]86[/TD] [TD]102[/TD] [TD]120[/TD] [TD][B]97[/B][/TD] [TD]96[/TD] [TD]130[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE] [TR] [TD][B]Off PPD Rank[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2012[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2013[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2014[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2015[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2016[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2017[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2018[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2019[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2020[/B][/TD] [TD][B]2021[/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][B]35[/B][/TD] [TD][B]72[/B][/TD] [TD][B]62[/B][/TD] [TD][B]59[/B][/TD] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]82[/TD] [TD]65[/TD] [TD]80[/TD] [TD]94[/TD] [TD]93[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]69[/TD] [TD]39[/TD] [TD]44[/TD] [TD][B]90[/B][/TD] [TD][B]38[/B][/TD] [TD][B]70[/B][/TD] [TD]45[/TD] [TD]42[/TD] [TD]106[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD]115[/TD] [TD]119[/TD] [TD]115[/TD] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]56[/TD] [TD]67[/TD] [TD]104[/TD] [TD][B]77[/B][/TD] [TD]73[/TD] [TD]128[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] This is looking at what percentile the offense finished – relative to the conference. Compared to the rest of the conference he typically finished about middle of the pack. In the ACC, if he can mirror those results, our OFEI & PPD would rank somewhere around 50 - 60. [TABLE] [TR] [TD]OFEI Rank[/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2012[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2013[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2014[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2015[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2016[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2017[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2018[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2019[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2020[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2021[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]60%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]64%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]46%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]69%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]69%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]36%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]64%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]79%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]54%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]21%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD][CENTER]90%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]50%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]64%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]73%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]45%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]50%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]50%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]40%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]60%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]50%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD][CENTER]0%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]7%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]23%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]85%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]62%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]50%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]21%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]43[/B]%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]46%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]0%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE] [TR] [TD]Off PPD[/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2012[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2013[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2014[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2015[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2016[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2017[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2018[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2019[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2020[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]2021[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]60%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]57%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]54%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]69%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]69%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]36%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]71%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]43%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]31%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]36%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD][CENTER]90%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]50%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]73%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]73%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]45%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]75%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]40%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]30%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]60%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]30%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD][CENTER]0%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]7%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]15%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]85%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]54%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]50%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]29%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]50%[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]62%[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]0%[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] He also has over a decade experience as an OC & play caller. He has been given credit for playing an important role on UGA’s coaching staff. The experience is there – so that’s a win. I’m hopeful he has picked up a lot from how UGA runs things; runs the program, gameplans, an offense, etc. Sure they have talent that we won’t, but they are also coached up as good as anyone. [B]Recruiting : B [/B] I’d bet we maintain the historical level of GT recruiting. I don’t see him elevating recruiting like Choice. Hard to chalk much up to him as OC when it comes to recruiting – especially his stop at Southern Miss – but history says we should expect … well for history to repeat itself. [TABLE] [TR] [TD][B]Class Ranking[/B][/TD] [TD][CENTER]Pre BF[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]BF[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]Post BF[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][CENTER][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]94 (’12 – ’15)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]100 (’16 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD][CENTER]93 (’12 – ’15)[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]96 (’16 – ‘18)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]97 (’19 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD][CENTER]84 (’12 – ’18)[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]85 (’19)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]96 (’20 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [TABLE] [TR] [TD][B]Avg Recruit Rating[/B][/TD] [TD][CENTER]Pre BF[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]BF[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]Post BF[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]MTSU[/TD] [TD][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]78.0 (’12 – ’15)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]79.8 (’16 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Ark State[/TD] [TD][CENTER]79.1 (’12 – ’15)[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]79.8 (’16 – ‘18)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]81.3 (’19 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Southern Miss[/TD] [TD][CENTER]79.8 (’12 – ’18)[/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER][B]81.3 (’19)[/B][/CENTER][/TD] [TD][CENTER]82.6 (’20 – ’21)[/CENTER][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [B]Overall Expectations / Grade: B[/B] I see this as a solid, stabilizing hire. I think expectations should be for him to right the ship, but not make us an elite offense. I’d conservatively guess an offense in the 60-75 range next year and 45-60 from year 2 on. If that's not enough by year 3 or 4, the job will hopefully be much more attractive (with better funding?) that we can target a bigger fish. Some hope? His OFEI and PPD rankings seem to historically outperform the teams overall recruiting ranking. Should we get our recruiting closer to top 40, maybe we see some offenses in the top 30-40 range after all. The fact that UGA is upset (from what I can find) at him leaving makes me think at the worst – it’s not a bad hire. I have 2 big hang-ups …. [LIST] [*]Where is all of this $$$ we have for a staff going? Are we adding more support staff or are we overpaying for Buster? [*]The staff that we are adding – very much seem to fit the Key personality of get to work. But – do we have any “elite” recruiters? Winning cures all, but getting a few stud transfers/recruits would be a nice jump start. [/LIST] [/QUOTE]
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