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General Investing and Economics Discussion - No Politics
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<blockquote data-quote="Deleted member 2897" data-source="post: 813133"><p>Fed came out today with the latest guidance on its ongoing $1.5T/year fiscal stimulus (buying back our own govt bonds, corporate bonds, mortgages, etc. with printed money). They said inflation and employment have gotten to the point that tapering this program is now on its radar, but made no statement about if it would happen anytime soon. IMHO the time to taper gradually and raise interest rates gradually to allow for a softer change is way way behind us and now we're committed to the rocket ship.</p><p></p><p>While researching their comments from today to see what they were, I stumbled on this from the Atlanta Fed. I don't really know what to make of it, but I found it interesting that they've cut their GDP growth estimates (green line below) down 8% absolute value (14% to 6%) in just the last 2 months. Perhaps that's why the Fed is taking their posture - they still view this rocket ship as temporary and growth will slow appreciably in the coming months.</p><p></p><p><img src="https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/images/cqer/research/gdpnow/gdpnow-forecast-evolution.gif?h=358&w=650&la=en" alt="" class="fr-fic fr-dii fr-draggable " style="width: 405px" /></p><p></p><p>The Fed has accumulated $4T worth of assets on its balance sheet from all this buying.</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm[/URL]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Deleted member 2897, post: 813133"] Fed came out today with the latest guidance on its ongoing $1.5T/year fiscal stimulus (buying back our own govt bonds, corporate bonds, mortgages, etc. with printed money). They said inflation and employment have gotten to the point that tapering this program is now on its radar, but made no statement about if it would happen anytime soon. IMHO the time to taper gradually and raise interest rates gradually to allow for a softer change is way way behind us and now we're committed to the rocket ship. While researching their comments from today to see what they were, I stumbled on this from the Atlanta Fed. I don't really know what to make of it, but I found it interesting that they've cut their GDP growth estimates (green line below) down 8% absolute value (14% to 6%) in just the last 2 months. Perhaps that's why the Fed is taking their posture - they still view this rocket ship as temporary and growth will slow appreciably in the coming months. [IMG width="405px"]https://www.atlantafed.org/-/media/images/cqer/research/gdpnow/gdpnow-forecast-evolution.gif?h=358&w=650&la=en[/IMG] The Fed has accumulated $4T worth of assets on its balance sheet from all this buying. [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/bst_recenttrends.htm[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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