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General Investing and Economics Discussion - No Politics
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<blockquote data-quote="IEEEWreck" data-source="post: 714035" data-attributes="member: 617"><p>I agree with LibertyTurn's advice, although I personally doubt how much is driven by supply shock reactions (or hoarding, if you will) and the extent to which supply shocks are over.</p><p></p><p>TP has a fascinatingly long supply chain, and it seems that meat may be in for a shock here soon.</p><p></p><p>FWIW, I made some decent gains investing in bidet manufacturers. Good time for them right now.</p><p></p><p>In terms of practical advice, recognize that you're gambling and institute a control scheme to keep you disciplined like you were playing blackjack. </p><p></p><p>Set concrete goals for gains and liquidate a certain amount of a position on each goal. It's ok not to literally sell if you decide to reinvest in the same position, but that is a distinct reinvestment decision at each goal. You also need to be keeping a portion as locked in gains. For me that goes into my general growth oriented portfolio, but you can do with it whatever you want.</p><p></p><p>A structure like this will give you short term gains on short term market behavior. Without controls you need to both get short term behavior right AND time the market. And only a fool tries to time the market, especially consistently.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="IEEEWreck, post: 714035, member: 617"] I agree with LibertyTurn's advice, although I personally doubt how much is driven by supply shock reactions (or hoarding, if you will) and the extent to which supply shocks are over. TP has a fascinatingly long supply chain, and it seems that meat may be in for a shock here soon. FWIW, I made some decent gains investing in bidet manufacturers. Good time for them right now. In terms of practical advice, recognize that you're gambling and institute a control scheme to keep you disciplined like you were playing blackjack. Set concrete goals for gains and liquidate a certain amount of a position on each goal. It's ok not to literally sell if you decide to reinvest in the same position, but that is a distinct reinvestment decision at each goal. You also need to be keeping a portion as locked in gains. For me that goes into my general growth oriented portfolio, but you can do with it whatever you want. A structure like this will give you short term gains on short term market behavior. Without controls you need to both get short term behavior right AND time the market. And only a fool tries to time the market, especially consistently. [/QUOTE]
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