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<blockquote data-quote="CLHarperJackt" data-source="post: 877460" data-attributes="member: 689"><p>Well if the is projection in the attached article is correct, will NIL money make up for the projected loss of money from ESPN for super conference expansion? I’ve people say the ESPN is the driver for super conference expansion so would a massive decline in revenue to ESPN be good or bad for college football?</p><p></p><p></p><p><a href="https://www.outkick.com/espn-lost-8-million-subscribers-in-2021-10-of-its-overall-subscriber-base/" target="_blank">https://www.outkick.com/espn-lost-8-million-subscribers-in-2021-10-of-its-overall-subscriber-base/</a></p><p></p><p>"...Assuming that’s right then in the space of about twenty years ESPN’s business will have been cut in half, from 100 million cable and satellite subscribers to 50 million subscribers. That is, what projected to be a $12 billion a year business will become a $6 billion a year business in the next five years.</p><p>And, again, that’s assuming the consensus is correct and the subscriber floor is truly 50 million. (The consensus view is that ESPN will lose around 5 million subscribers a year between now and 2030ish, eventually settling at a floor of 50 million subscribers.) What’s important to note is that ESPN would be losing money hand over fist if this, the consensus view, occurs. Because as ESPN’s revenue declines the amount it can afford to pay for sports rights, at least if profitability is the goal, will decline substantially too, meaning the only reason people subscribe to ESPN, for the games, would be even less of a value proposition..."</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CLHarperJackt, post: 877460, member: 689"] Well if the is projection in the attached article is correct, will NIL money make up for the projected loss of money from ESPN for super conference expansion? I’ve people say the ESPN is the driver for super conference expansion so would a massive decline in revenue to ESPN be good or bad for college football? [URL]https://www.outkick.com/espn-lost-8-million-subscribers-in-2021-10-of-its-overall-subscriber-base/[/URL] "...Assuming that’s right then in the space of about twenty years ESPN’s business will have been cut in half, from 100 million cable and satellite subscribers to 50 million subscribers. That is, what projected to be a $12 billion a year business will become a $6 billion a year business in the next five years. And, again, that’s assuming the consensus is correct and the subscriber floor is truly 50 million. (The consensus view is that ESPN will lose around 5 million subscribers a year between now and 2030ish, eventually settling at a floor of 50 million subscribers.) What’s important to note is that ESPN would be losing money hand over fist if this, the consensus view, occurs. Because as ESPN’s revenue declines the amount it can afford to pay for sports rights, at least if profitability is the goal, will decline substantially too, meaning the only reason people subscribe to ESPN, for the games, would be even less of a value proposition..." [/QUOTE]
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