Emory will be fine when the higher education bubble bursts. The quality of incoming students might take a hit, but they will be okay economically. However, schools like Mercer, Berry, etc might fold when students realize that a degree in women's studies isn't worth anywhere near $300,000.
Emory law and Emory med's finances are not sustainable. A few years back, there was an emory law prof who got cited in maybe in the WSJ talking about how a top 20 law school will fold in the next few years. . . I wonder who they were talking about. Law schools used to make so much $$$ that it didn't matter how you spent it. Then, enrollment fell from all highs to the lowest number of applicants in 50+ years . . . over like a 3 year period. And once you give your professors tenure and write the rules so they only have to teach 3 classes a year + paid semester sabbatical every 3 semesters, well, it makes it really hard to cut costs to deal with declining revenues. So, you just pour money from the endowment into "scholarships" to get whoever you can to come. Also, 1/2 of emory law is asian students. like, people from china who already have laws degrees but have to come to america and get an american law degree b/c our legal system is so dominant globally. none of those students get scholarships, so it's a huge source of revenue. . . international students are keeping all universities propped up right now. . . how much longer will it last? I mean, our universities are elite. And they've got time. But not much. . . I know that saudi arabia was head hunting GT profs a few years ago. like, some of our top researchers who work on things that maybe a few other people in the world could replicate. they offered 4x salary, 4x benefits, and unlimited research funding. . . obviously living in Saudi Arabia has its disadvantages, but when these profs aren't able to find research funding in the US anymore b/c the feds slash science funding to feed big pharma, you at least listen. . . we're not as stable economically as people think.
Going back to Emory med, look at who benefits the most from drug patents (hint: universities). the rise of health care costs have gone through the roof. and the reality is, doctors are expensive. i mean, i've tried hard to find a solution to this problem. But I just stop b/c pretty quick into analyzing the tradeoffs and cost, it just gets too dark. (oh. that's why the tea party idiots are so afraid of death panels). Biotech, big data, all of that is going to radically change health care. and no one is ready for it. i have no idea what will happen.
Also, people talk about emory's endowment. no one knows how much of it belongs to the university and how much of it belongs to entities that aren't emory - namely their health care affiliates. all that money is earmarked. i mean, who knows, if you spin off emory healthcare and debundle the endowment, GT's could be larger. Prob not - but no one knows.
As for NIRP, the fact they we have quasi-NIRP proves that we have solved the zero lower bound problem. it's definitely possible. capital flight is less of a threat than most economics make it out to be. because there's nowhere to go. we've purposefully built this system using game theory, IMO. it's in everyones (well, everyone who has power and money) best interest to maintain the current system. because if it goes pop, you lose way more than you gain. why the cold war never had direct confrontation. it's actually pretty brilliant, especially after a ww2 mindset. b/c it has prevented WW3. . . it's the unintended consequences that always get you, namely what happened to 3rd world countries.
The question is - what comes next. capitalism has nowhere left to go, except maybe it can co-exist with number 1. it's only scary because no one, NO ONE, has a clue. It could be awesome. It could be hell. i guess that's life.
(1) anarchism / Marxist utopia:
https://www.theguardian.com/books/2015/jul/17/postcapitalism-end-of-capitalism-begun
(2) fascism - Western front moving east & keeping SE asia on lock.
(3) soft-landing - socialism / stagflation. gov't and economies lead by commissions of "intellectuals" from harvard, yale, chicago etc.
(4) trump - it's so illogical i don't even know what to say . . . his closest comparison is hitler. but trump is almost scarier than that. because hitler had a plan. and i really don't think trump has clue. he's too impulsive and vain to think about anything long term or even short term. i'm guessing this would end really really bad. & i don't see any possible upside.
But then again, what do I know? i'm just some person on the internet. I'm in my 20s. I'm a nerd - i love reading about this stuff. And i turned down a wall street job w/ a starting salary out of undergrad that ill prob never earn again in my life. I choose to go to law school instead b/c i thought i could actually fix our economy.... so ya. I'm an idiot. lol and even with a 6 figure scholarship & a perfect LSAT score, that decision will still leave me pretty much 100k in debt with interest expenses.
my point is - i'm biased. if what i write makes you depressed, stop listening to me. stop listening to everyone. just go live your life and watch GT football and be happy. because i'm prob wrong. and if i'm wrong, then most ppl you see on the news are wrong too. no one has a clue. we just like to pretend we do. the kids i went to school with our idiots. and these are kids who are about to run our banks, gov't, health care institutions, etc. . and our jobs depend on convincing you that you gotta listen to us. . . it's harder and harder to do when we're trying to bill 1k an hour for our time & won't accept any wrk for less b/c otherwise we can't pay off our debt. a bit of an exaggeration, but not by much.
Sorry for fearmongering. Go GT.