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Explaining Points per Drive vs Points Per Game
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<blockquote data-quote="18in32" data-source="post: 257940" data-attributes="member: 2492"><p>I like per possession stats as much as the next guy... but they can mislead just as any stat can, and people often talk about this particular stat in a very misleading way. </p><p></p><p>Just because we scored 4 TD on 8 possessions, and the same day in another game Louisville scored 8 TD in 16 possessions, does not mean that our offense played as well as Louisville's. The goal of the offense is not "efficiency," but actual points. In this scenario, for example, there's no guarantee that we would've scored 4 more TD on another 8 possessions – something Louisville already did. </p><p></p><p>It is true that we probably limited the number of possessions that our defense had to defend, which can be a huge advantage for a team with a struggling D like us. But the fact that we slowed the game down by snapping the ball less frequently is not evidence of a great offense. It is a deliberate and valuable strategic choice, but not proof that our offense is as good as Louisville's. They actually did score twice as many points as our offense did (in my hypothetical). Perhaps we would have scored 4 more TD in another 8 possessions (or perhaps 8 more TD's!)... but that is speculation, not statistics.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="18in32, post: 257940, member: 2492"] I like per possession stats as much as the next guy... but they can mislead just as any stat can, and people often talk about this particular stat in a very misleading way. Just because we scored 4 TD on 8 possessions, and the same day in another game Louisville scored 8 TD in 16 possessions, does not mean that our offense played as well as Louisville's. The goal of the offense is not "efficiency," but actual points. In this scenario, for example, there's no guarantee that we would've scored 4 more TD on another 8 possessions – something Louisville already did. It is true that we probably limited the number of possessions that our defense had to defend, which can be a huge advantage for a team with a struggling D like us. But the fact that we slowed the game down by snapping the ball less frequently is not evidence of a great offense. It is a deliberate and valuable strategic choice, but not proof that our offense is as good as Louisville's. They actually did score twice as many points as our offense did (in my hypothetical). Perhaps we would have scored 4 more TD in another 8 possessions (or perhaps 8 more TD's!)... but that is speculation, not statistics. [/QUOTE]
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Explaining Points per Drive vs Points Per Game
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