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Explaining Points per Drive vs Points Per Game
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<blockquote data-quote="Vespidae" data-source="post: 257757" data-attributes="member: 2957"><p>Belichick's dad wrote the classic text on scouting. Bill is extremely shrewd and you can bet he understands stats. He just doesn't want to tip his hand. </p><p></p><p>Interesting thread. Teams with a fast offense are often judged harshly from a defensive standpoint because the O is on the field for only a few minutes per game. That's one reason why TOP is no longer a metric with any real importance. It's not uncommon for a D in a fast tempo team to face twice as many plays, so they look "bad" even though if yo adjust the the numbers, they look pretty good. </p><p></p><p>I think everything is moving to per Drive or per Play for the reasons you mentioned. I recently saw an approach that normalized everything to "per 75 plays" because that was the statistical average of all games played. </p><p></p><p>Lastly, my observation is that if you have the athletes (like Alabama), you'll grind out a game in the traditional way. Own the LOS, drive 6-7 yards per play, control the clock and let the D do its thing. Run a minimal number of plays. </p><p></p><p>If you don't have the athletes to own the LOS, you run a fast tempo game - no huddles, short passes, fast, fast fast. Anything to get an edge. </p><p></p><p>We'll see. Always evolving.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Vespidae, post: 257757, member: 2957"] Belichick's dad wrote the classic text on scouting. Bill is extremely shrewd and you can bet he understands stats. He just doesn't want to tip his hand. Interesting thread. Teams with a fast offense are often judged harshly from a defensive standpoint because the O is on the field for only a few minutes per game. That's one reason why TOP is no longer a metric with any real importance. It's not uncommon for a D in a fast tempo team to face twice as many plays, so they look "bad" even though if yo adjust the the numbers, they look pretty good. I think everything is moving to per Drive or per Play for the reasons you mentioned. I recently saw an approach that normalized everything to "per 75 plays" because that was the statistical average of all games played. Lastly, my observation is that if you have the athletes (like Alabama), you'll grind out a game in the traditional way. Own the LOS, drive 6-7 yards per play, control the clock and let the D do its thing. Run a minimal number of plays. If you don't have the athletes to own the LOS, you run a fast tempo game - no huddles, short passes, fast, fast fast. Anything to get an edge. We'll see. Always evolving. [/QUOTE]
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Explaining Points per Drive vs Points Per Game
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