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<blockquote data-quote="BCJacket" data-source="post: 814215" data-attributes="member: 2332"><p>I think a lot of you are thinking about this backwards. "The ACC needs to get out of the ESPN deal to survive." But ESPN is very happy with the ACC deal. ESPN isn't going to let the ACC dissolve and ruin their sweet 15 more years bargain price media deal. The best outcome for ESPN is for the ACC brand to get better and improve the value of that content. It would not be good for ESPN for the big brands (FSU, Clem, UM) move to the more expensive (to ESPN) SEC media deal and leave them with a weaker ACC product for the next 15 years.</p><p></p><p>Texas and OU to the SEC is great for ESPN. They get the two B12 brands they really want. Without a bidding war with Fox, etc. Also, without needing to carry Iowa St. ESPN's deal with the SEC already had a clause for what happens if they add certain teams. They don't even have to negotiate that.</p><p></p><p>The reasons a B1G team (Penn St) might be enticed to the ACC is that, reportedly, many schools aren't happy with the B1G leadership - the handling of covid last year, for example. Their (favorable to the B1G) media deal with Fox runs out in 2024. They may not be able to negotiate as good a deal again. ESPN would love to get one or more of the valuable B1G brands over to the ACC (even if they have to rework that deal some). Then maybe not have to bid against Fox for Perdue and Rutgers in a few years.</p><p></p><p>Likewise, ESPN would love to get ND from NBC. Though ND may think they can get a better standalone deal - streaming on YouTube? However, NBC is deemphasizing sports. Shut down NBCSN. Having a CFB game to broadcast Saturday afternoons is great. But they might be into a deal with ESPN to carry an ACC game of the week, if ND joins the ACC. ESPN gets their product on another national broadcast channel. NBC gets valuable content to air without having to do a whole deal.</p><p></p><p>IMHO, the most likely outcome is that the ACC and ESPN entice another big brand or two into the ACC (probably one we're not expecting right now) from a 'Fox' conference. Then arrange a scheduling alliance between the ACC and the SEC (a bunch of these natural rivalries exist already) effectively creating a dominant 32 team league all under ESPNs control. Perhaps with it's own playoff. ESPN makes a lot of money off it and pays the ACC a little more. At that point, when the Pac12 and B1G media deals run out, any school wanting a shot at the CFP is going to have to try to get under that umbrella. Or Fox tries to build a competing superleague out of the Pac12/Big12 and B1G...</p><p></p><p>Bottom line, nothing is going to happen to the ACC that isn't good for our corporate overlords. And they're locked into us for 15 years too.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="BCJacket, post: 814215, member: 2332"] I think a lot of you are thinking about this backwards. "The ACC needs to get out of the ESPN deal to survive." But ESPN is very happy with the ACC deal. ESPN isn't going to let the ACC dissolve and ruin their sweet 15 more years bargain price media deal. The best outcome for ESPN is for the ACC brand to get better and improve the value of that content. It would not be good for ESPN for the big brands (FSU, Clem, UM) move to the more expensive (to ESPN) SEC media deal and leave them with a weaker ACC product for the next 15 years. Texas and OU to the SEC is great for ESPN. They get the two B12 brands they really want. Without a bidding war with Fox, etc. Also, without needing to carry Iowa St. ESPN's deal with the SEC already had a clause for what happens if they add certain teams. They don't even have to negotiate that. The reasons a B1G team (Penn St) might be enticed to the ACC is that, reportedly, many schools aren't happy with the B1G leadership - the handling of covid last year, for example. Their (favorable to the B1G) media deal with Fox runs out in 2024. They may not be able to negotiate as good a deal again. ESPN would love to get one or more of the valuable B1G brands over to the ACC (even if they have to rework that deal some). Then maybe not have to bid against Fox for Perdue and Rutgers in a few years. Likewise, ESPN would love to get ND from NBC. Though ND may think they can get a better standalone deal - streaming on YouTube? However, NBC is deemphasizing sports. Shut down NBCSN. Having a CFB game to broadcast Saturday afternoons is great. But they might be into a deal with ESPN to carry an ACC game of the week, if ND joins the ACC. ESPN gets their product on another national broadcast channel. NBC gets valuable content to air without having to do a whole deal. IMHO, the most likely outcome is that the ACC and ESPN entice another big brand or two into the ACC (probably one we're not expecting right now) from a 'Fox' conference. Then arrange a scheduling alliance between the ACC and the SEC (a bunch of these natural rivalries exist already) effectively creating a dominant 32 team league all under ESPNs control. Perhaps with it's own playoff. ESPN makes a lot of money off it and pays the ACC a little more. At that point, when the Pac12 and B1G media deals run out, any school wanting a shot at the CFP is going to have to try to get under that umbrella. Or Fox tries to build a competing superleague out of the Pac12/Big12 and B1G... Bottom line, nothing is going to happen to the ACC that isn't good for our corporate overlords. And they're locked into us for 15 years too. [/QUOTE]
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