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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 86918" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>AE, where did you get the ppd data or did you calculate it? </p><p></p><p>Football Outsiders will start adjusting for opponent strength after week 7 I believe. Until then, we have less informative data than we will. It's hard to compare the raw numbers as Longest points out since the quality of our opponents has been higher than Dukes. How much? Well, you need the weak transitive property for that. <img src="data:image/gif;base64,R0lGODlhAQABAIAAAAAAAP///yH5BAEAAAAALAAAAAABAAEAAAIBRAA7" class="smilie smilie--sprite smilie--sprite2" alt=";)" title="Wink ;)" loading="lazy" data-shortname=";)" /></p><p></p><p>For DCS, there is a weak transitive property in football (I know you know that). But due to the weakness, you have to compare all teams that play against each other and minimize the error ...... look at the probability of win chart during our game against Miami at <a href="http://www.fromtherumbleseat.com/2014/10/6/6916199/advanced-box-score-miami" target="_blank">http://www.fromtherumbleseat.com/2014/10/6/6916199/advanced-box-score-miami</a> . Ain't no way you can predict the outcome very accurately in advance of the game, it's hard even during the game!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 86918, member: 322"] AE, where did you get the ppd data or did you calculate it? Football Outsiders will start adjusting for opponent strength after week 7 I believe. Until then, we have less informative data than we will. It's hard to compare the raw numbers as Longest points out since the quality of our opponents has been higher than Dukes. How much? Well, you need the weak transitive property for that. ;) For DCS, there is a weak transitive property in football (I know you know that). But due to the weakness, you have to compare all teams that play against each other and minimize the error ...... look at the probability of win chart during our game against Miami at [url]http://www.fromtherumbleseat.com/2014/10/6/6916199/advanced-box-score-miami[/url] . Ain't no way you can predict the outcome very accurately in advance of the game, it's hard even during the game! [/QUOTE]
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