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<blockquote data-quote="CuseJacket" data-source="post: 120591" data-attributes="member: 274"><p>[USER=1374]@Peacone36[/USER] - you put my heart in my stomach and thought I completely dropped the ball. Hope you haven't made plans during the game <strong>tomorrow</strong> night.</p><p></p><p>Here goes nothing...</p><p></p><p>Starting with the questions/ideas I've seen tossed around so far:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">This is probably Syracuse worst 2-3 zone in years. In fact it's probably the worst I've seen since the, go figure, NIT years of '07 and '08. Michigan beat Syracuse and then lost to Eastern Michigan at home, a team coached by former Syracuse assistant Rob Murphy. Eastern Michigan runs a 2-3 zone. John Beilein, Michigan's coach, said Eastern Michigan played one of the toughest zones he's seen in a while. Ouch.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">No hidden secret - the reason for Syracuse's problems is they lost a lot and replaced it with little. [USER=572]@dtm1997[/USER] - here's how tomorrow <em>should</em> shake out with proper gameplanning by both teams:<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>PG - advantage GT</strong>. 4* true frosh Kaleb Joseph was rated as such because he's 6'3", quick, long and in theory will be good with seasoning. He was supposed to back up Ennis this year. He has been a deer in headlights with any type of ball pressure, shoots a terribly unpredictable shot, and is only now starting to learn where to be in the zone. Terrible combination especially in light of the fact that he's the only true PG on the team. Jorg and Heath are better right now.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>SG - advantage 'Cuse </strong>unless we're throwing MGH at the 2G. Trevor Cooney can actually shoot off the dribble this year and penetrate just enough to make himself a threat. Still, he can be mostly neutralized by face-guarding/no help off of him. GT did a good job with this last year so I expect the same this year. I still think Cooney is a far better defender than what GT has at this position. Again, I'm considering MGH a SF.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>SF - push</strong>. [USER=1374]@Peacone36[/USER] is on the right track here - Michael Gbinije has been dubbed the X-factor by many this year. He's a lot like MGH except he's a slightly better shooter with slightly better handle. He needs to play well for Syracuse to have a legitimate perimeter presence outside of Cooney, because there is little to nothing behind those two.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>PF - advantage GT.</strong> 5* true frosh Chris McCullough is an enigma. He is built like a prototypical NBA PF and most believe he's expecting to be 1-and-done. Long, athletic, and has a pretty stroke (that doesn't go in consistently. He disappears altogether with contact. Mitchell/Sampson really need to knock him around to get him out of rhythm. Pretty simple. He does not hustle and has been largely relegated to the bench for backup Tyler Roberson, who is another high potential 4* PF who is starting to play well.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul"><strong>C - advantage 'Cuse. </strong>Not exaggerating, Syracuse has 3 options on offense - Cooney, Gbinije, and center Rakeem Christmas. The silver lining is that Boeheim realizes this and coaches accordingly, however it keeps options limited. GT's center rotation really shouldn't matter given Christmas' experience, ability, and quickness. He can jump hook over Cox/Mitchell or spin/dribble by them with his speed. The way to beat Christmas, and quite frankly Syracuse, is to get Christmas in foul trouble. As a senior he is good for 2 inexplicably silly fouls a game. If GT can not only get into the middle of the zone, but also get into Christmas' body/pumpfake/take charges/whatever, the already weak zone defense will be razor thin and offensively they become really small.</li> </ul></li> </ul><p>Keys for a GT win:</p><ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">First, let me point out Syracuse is favored by 2. Basically a tossup.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">GT on offense....<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Remember last year? GT couldn't shoot a lick, and despite troubling signs brewing in Syracuse it seemed like the 2-3 would run over GT. GT's success last year was ultimately rooted in Carter/Miller's ability to see over the zone, kick out to the wings effectively, and play high/low from the FT line and short corner. So far I think we'd all agree it's unlikely Cox/Mitchell provide the same benefits.</li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Instead, GT needs to do what you always coach against the zone. #1 Get the ball to the FT line - I'd say MGH is best here given his ability to then get into Christmas' body and be tough around the rim. Maybe Mitchell can do it but it seems out of character. #2 High ball screen to split the guards or kick out/swing for a secondary drive. We'll see if GT's guards + MGH can coordinate an attack like this. If done cohesively it opens so many passing lanes, and frankly it's been easy for most teams to do it this year.</li> </ul></li> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">GT on defense....<ul> <li data-xf-list-type="ul">Pack it in. Double-down on Christmas. Face guard Cooney. Only close out hard on Gbinije. It's that simple. Other Syracuse players have the ability to get hot in small spurts but I can count on one hand the number of times it's happened for a full game. If they put anything more together than that then it's just unfortunate timing or bad scheme by GT.</li> </ul></li> </ul><p></p><p>I've been very down on this year's Syracuse team. Last year's team fell apart, going 3-6 in their final 9 games. And they are worse on both ends of the floor. Fortunately after the last few games my spirits are every so slightly up in a way where I think they are closer to locking up an NIT bid, or best case, take advantage of a weak middle of the ACC to sneak into the tournament. For one more perspective, Lunardi now has them in a tourney play-in game.</p><p></p><p>Despite the long-winded preview there's more that can be said if there are other questions. Now I'm curious what you all think can/will be done vs. Syracuse for GT to pull out the win tomorrow.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CuseJacket, post: 120591, member: 274"] [USER=1374]@Peacone36[/USER] - you put my heart in my stomach and thought I completely dropped the ball. Hope you haven't made plans during the game [B]tomorrow[/B] night. Here goes nothing... Starting with the questions/ideas I've seen tossed around so far: [LIST] [*]This is probably Syracuse worst 2-3 zone in years. In fact it's probably the worst I've seen since the, go figure, NIT years of '07 and '08. Michigan beat Syracuse and then lost to Eastern Michigan at home, a team coached by former Syracuse assistant Rob Murphy. Eastern Michigan runs a 2-3 zone. John Beilein, Michigan's coach, said Eastern Michigan played one of the toughest zones he's seen in a while. Ouch. [*]No hidden secret - the reason for Syracuse's problems is they lost a lot and replaced it with little. [USER=572]@dtm1997[/USER] - here's how tomorrow [I]should[/I] shake out with proper gameplanning by both teams: [LIST] [*][B]PG - advantage GT[/B]. 4* true frosh Kaleb Joseph was rated as such because he's 6'3", quick, long and in theory will be good with seasoning. He was supposed to back up Ennis this year. He has been a deer in headlights with any type of ball pressure, shoots a terribly unpredictable shot, and is only now starting to learn where to be in the zone. Terrible combination especially in light of the fact that he's the only true PG on the team. Jorg and Heath are better right now. [*][B]SG - advantage 'Cuse [/B]unless we're throwing MGH at the 2G. Trevor Cooney can actually shoot off the dribble this year and penetrate just enough to make himself a threat. Still, he can be mostly neutralized by face-guarding/no help off of him. GT did a good job with this last year so I expect the same this year. I still think Cooney is a far better defender than what GT has at this position. Again, I'm considering MGH a SF. [*][B]SF - push[/B]. [USER=1374]@Peacone36[/USER] is on the right track here - Michael Gbinije has been dubbed the X-factor by many this year. He's a lot like MGH except he's a slightly better shooter with slightly better handle. He needs to play well for Syracuse to have a legitimate perimeter presence outside of Cooney, because there is little to nothing behind those two. [*][B]PF - advantage GT.[/B] 5* true frosh Chris McCullough is an enigma. He is built like a prototypical NBA PF and most believe he's expecting to be 1-and-done. Long, athletic, and has a pretty stroke (that doesn't go in consistently. He disappears altogether with contact. Mitchell/Sampson really need to knock him around to get him out of rhythm. Pretty simple. He does not hustle and has been largely relegated to the bench for backup Tyler Roberson, who is another high potential 4* PF who is starting to play well. [*][B]C - advantage 'Cuse. [/B]Not exaggerating, Syracuse has 3 options on offense - Cooney, Gbinije, and center Rakeem Christmas. The silver lining is that Boeheim realizes this and coaches accordingly, however it keeps options limited. GT's center rotation really shouldn't matter given Christmas' experience, ability, and quickness. He can jump hook over Cox/Mitchell or spin/dribble by them with his speed. The way to beat Christmas, and quite frankly Syracuse, is to get Christmas in foul trouble. As a senior he is good for 2 inexplicably silly fouls a game. If GT can not only get into the middle of the zone, but also get into Christmas' body/pumpfake/take charges/whatever, the already weak zone defense will be razor thin and offensively they become really small. [/LIST] [/LIST] Keys for a GT win: [LIST] [*]First, let me point out Syracuse is favored by 2. Basically a tossup. [*]GT on offense.... [LIST] [*]Remember last year? GT couldn't shoot a lick, and despite troubling signs brewing in Syracuse it seemed like the 2-3 would run over GT. GT's success last year was ultimately rooted in Carter/Miller's ability to see over the zone, kick out to the wings effectively, and play high/low from the FT line and short corner. So far I think we'd all agree it's unlikely Cox/Mitchell provide the same benefits. [*]Instead, GT needs to do what you always coach against the zone. #1 Get the ball to the FT line - I'd say MGH is best here given his ability to then get into Christmas' body and be tough around the rim. Maybe Mitchell can do it but it seems out of character. #2 High ball screen to split the guards or kick out/swing for a secondary drive. We'll see if GT's guards + MGH can coordinate an attack like this. If done cohesively it opens so many passing lanes, and frankly it's been easy for most teams to do it this year. [/LIST] [*]GT on defense.... [LIST] [*]Pack it in. Double-down on Christmas. Face guard Cooney. Only close out hard on Gbinije. It's that simple. Other Syracuse players have the ability to get hot in small spurts but I can count on one hand the number of times it's happened for a full game. If they put anything more together than that then it's just unfortunate timing or bad scheme by GT. [/LIST] [/LIST] I've been very down on this year's Syracuse team. Last year's team fell apart, going 3-6 in their final 9 games. And they are worse on both ends of the floor. Fortunately after the last few games my spirits are every so slightly up in a way where I think they are closer to locking up an NIT bid, or best case, take advantage of a weak middle of the ACC to sneak into the tournament. For one more perspective, Lunardi now has them in a tourney play-in game. Despite the long-winded preview there's more that can be said if there are other questions. Now I'm curious what you all think can/will be done vs. Syracuse for GT to pull out the win tomorrow. [/QUOTE]
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