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CPJ in One-Score Games
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 354500" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>FWIW, the post about 10 close games assumed multiple seasons. I thought talking about winning 10 FCS games would've made that clear. I get it that you were making a joke, but like the premise of this thread in my opinion, the premise of the joke was unfounded.</p><p></p><p>In other words, you are missing my point about the premise of the thread. You have not provided any logic for suggesting that close games should average out to 50%. I understand that this was your assumption. However, it needs to be argued. As I said earlier in my post to Cuse, if you did it against the spread, then I think you'd have a more reasonable stat. However, if you lose by 4 to a team that was projected to beat you by 14, then I simply don't accept the premise that you should have been 50-50 against them. I also don't accept the premise that all coaches will have as many of those games as they have winning by 4 when projected to win by 14. I don't see any logic for saying that coaches should average out to 50% on close games. Again, I am willing to listen to your explanation if you have one.</p><p></p><p>Also, I find it disingenuous for you to say that you did not intend this thread to suggest that CPJ is not a good coach. You said in the op, "Well, as we've all said before, if winning close games is the difference between good seasons and average seasons then we've got some work to do...and it seems like our head coach in particular has had a problem with this since he's been the only constant over those 10 years." You explicitly use the stat to draw a conclusion about CPJ.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 354500, member: 195"] FWIW, the post about 10 close games assumed multiple seasons. I thought talking about winning 10 FCS games would've made that clear. I get it that you were making a joke, but like the premise of this thread in my opinion, the premise of the joke was unfounded. In other words, you are missing my point about the premise of the thread. You have not provided any logic for suggesting that close games should average out to 50%. I understand that this was your assumption. However, it needs to be argued. As I said earlier in my post to Cuse, if you did it against the spread, then I think you'd have a more reasonable stat. However, if you lose by 4 to a team that was projected to beat you by 14, then I simply don't accept the premise that you should have been 50-50 against them. I also don't accept the premise that all coaches will have as many of those games as they have winning by 4 when projected to win by 14. I don't see any logic for saying that coaches should average out to 50% on close games. Again, I am willing to listen to your explanation if you have one. Also, I find it disingenuous for you to say that you did not intend this thread to suggest that CPJ is not a good coach. You said in the op, "Well, as we've all said before, if winning close games is the difference between good seasons and average seasons then we've got some work to do...and it seems like our head coach in particular has had a problem with this since he's been the only constant over those 10 years." You explicitly use the stat to draw a conclusion about CPJ. [/QUOTE]
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