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CPJ in One-Score Games
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<blockquote data-quote="AE 87" data-source="post: 354275" data-attributes="member: 195"><p>OK, then I am missing something. Please explain to me the logic of the OP's stat that makes it interesting and comparable. </p><p></p><p>I'll begin by explaining the logic of the PPDvsPWR5 stat so you know what I'm looking for.</p><p style="margin-left: 20px">a) The Ultimate Standard of the quality of a football team is its wins vs losses.</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">b) Wins and Losses are a matter of points scored vs points allowed.</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">c) While Special Teams (besides FGs) also play a role, and defenses can score points, Team Strength can be approximated by Offensive Pts Scored and Defensive Pts allowed</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">d) Since different teams play at different rates, calculating these stats per drive as opposed to per game allows better comparison between teams, of offense and defense independently</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">e) While there is variability among Pwr5 opponents, it is less variability than when non-PWR5 opponents are included; this variability is also mollified by requiring at least 3 pwr5 opponents</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">f) Ranking Teams by the Difference of their OPPD and their DPPD correlates well with National Rankings like AP, thereby giving some validity to the two stats.</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px"></p><p>So, now, you will explain why you consider it equally meaningful to draw conclusions about the skill of a coach in close games when you</p><p style="margin-left: 20px">a) don't address issues of team injuries, strength of opposition, etc -- you can use the difference between 2015 and 2016 raised by bwelbo to make your point</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">b) don't compare CPJ to all the other coaches to know where he would be ranked</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">c) don't provide a justification for why someone should consider the coach an specialized and independent variable for this particular conclusion</p> <p style="margin-left: 20px">d) don't explain what "length of time" means when the number of 1-score games can vary wildly from 1 year to the next</p><p>Generally, just explain the logic of the stat that makes it meaningful</p><p></p><p>Thanks</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="AE 87, post: 354275, member: 195"] OK, then I am missing something. Please explain to me the logic of the OP's stat that makes it interesting and comparable. I'll begin by explaining the logic of the PPDvsPWR5 stat so you know what I'm looking for. [INDENT]a) The Ultimate Standard of the quality of a football team is its wins vs losses. b) Wins and Losses are a matter of points scored vs points allowed. c) While Special Teams (besides FGs) also play a role, and defenses can score points, Team Strength can be approximated by Offensive Pts Scored and Defensive Pts allowed d) Since different teams play at different rates, calculating these stats per drive as opposed to per game allows better comparison between teams, of offense and defense independently e) While there is variability among Pwr5 opponents, it is less variability than when non-PWR5 opponents are included; this variability is also mollified by requiring at least 3 pwr5 opponents f) Ranking Teams by the Difference of their OPPD and their DPPD correlates well with National Rankings like AP, thereby giving some validity to the two stats. [/INDENT] So, now, you will explain why you consider it equally meaningful to draw conclusions about the skill of a coach in close games when you [INDENT]a) don't address issues of team injuries, strength of opposition, etc -- you can use the difference between 2015 and 2016 raised by bwelbo to make your point b) don't compare CPJ to all the other coaches to know where he would be ranked c) don't provide a justification for why someone should consider the coach an specialized and independent variable for this particular conclusion d) don't explain what "length of time" means when the number of 1-score games can vary wildly from 1 year to the next[/INDENT] Generally, just explain the logic of the stat that makes it meaningful Thanks [/QUOTE]
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