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<blockquote data-quote="CEB" data-source="post: 998136" data-attributes="member: 4905"><p>I don’t know what your definition of “prolonged” is, but the only way I see a prolonged legal battle is if FSU actually leaves the conference and then sues for its media rights. As long as FSU is a member of the ACC, there is not a “legal battle…” just a bunch of posturing while parties wait out contractual agreements.</p><p></p><p>There will obviously be a settlement. It will come at one of three times:</p><p>1. The ESPN/ACC deal termination becomes known AND quantifiable. If there is an option out there that allows ESPN a clean break AND ESPN elects to break it, we could know this as early as next year (according to the allegation that an option decision must be made is 2025). With only two years left on a deal, the relative values of teams can be assessed and potentially bought out without any long term precedent being set with regard to GOR.</p><p>2. Again, the termination of the deal is known and quantifiable. If the deal runs through 2036, either because ESPN exercises the option or because the deal runs through 2036 regardless (we have no confirmation on what this option is or how it may or may not change the term), then this type of buyout can happen around 2033 when there are only 2-3 seasons to navigate.</p><p>3. The prolonged legal battle in which FSU leaves and then sues for their media rights. If that happens, I don’t see how the ACC can afford NOT to fight it. The ACC has an obligation to ESPN to provide that media. I don’t think the ACC could settle with FSU before they have fulfilled their obligation to ESPN, so FSU would have to win a court case nullifying the GOR. I don’t see how that would make it through all of the hearings and appeals faster than the two previous options. If FSU believes ESPN has an option to refuse and end the deal in 2027, I don't see why FSU would push this button until ESPN’s intention is known.</p><p></p><p>By the way, the implications of GOR being defeated would further torpedo the value of these media deals with regard to CONFERENCES. Oddly enough, maybe that’s where we’re headed anyway… each school strikes their own media deal and conferences are more about scheduling agreements than revenue sharing.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="CEB, post: 998136, member: 4905"] I don’t know what your definition of “prolonged” is, but the only way I see a prolonged legal battle is if FSU actually leaves the conference and then sues for its media rights. As long as FSU is a member of the ACC, there is not a “legal battle…” just a bunch of posturing while parties wait out contractual agreements. There will obviously be a settlement. It will come at one of three times: 1. The ESPN/ACC deal termination becomes known AND quantifiable. If there is an option out there that allows ESPN a clean break AND ESPN elects to break it, we could know this as early as next year (according to the allegation that an option decision must be made is 2025). With only two years left on a deal, the relative values of teams can be assessed and potentially bought out without any long term precedent being set with regard to GOR. 2. Again, the termination of the deal is known and quantifiable. If the deal runs through 2036, either because ESPN exercises the option or because the deal runs through 2036 regardless (we have no confirmation on what this option is or how it may or may not change the term), then this type of buyout can happen around 2033 when there are only 2-3 seasons to navigate. 3. The prolonged legal battle in which FSU leaves and then sues for their media rights. If that happens, I don’t see how the ACC can afford NOT to fight it. The ACC has an obligation to ESPN to provide that media. I don’t think the ACC could settle with FSU before they have fulfilled their obligation to ESPN, so FSU would have to win a court case nullifying the GOR. I don’t see how that would make it through all of the hearings and appeals faster than the two previous options. If FSU believes ESPN has an option to refuse and end the deal in 2027, I don't see why FSU would push this button until ESPN’s intention is known. By the way, the implications of GOR being defeated would further torpedo the value of these media deals with regard to CONFERENCES. Oddly enough, maybe that’s where we’re headed anyway… each school strikes their own media deal and conferences are more about scheduling agreements than revenue sharing. [/QUOTE]
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