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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 991802" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>It looks like you’re mixing “deserves it” (resume) and “who looks like the strongest team”. They overlap, and Oregon losing to Washington helps Washington and hurts Oregon.</p><p></p><p>First, I’ve said clearly I’d pick the teams that earned it on the field—Washington, Michigan, FSU, and Texas. That’s what a “most deserving” or resume system does.</p><p></p><p>I’ve also explained how Oregon comes out ahead of Washington on most predictive “who is best” systems. If you have 13 games, and Oregon performs better than Washington on 11 of 13, then Oregon will come out ahead of Washington. The two head to head games will move Washington up and Oregon down, but not enough to overcome the other 11 games.</p><p></p><p>In rock paper scissors, paper always beats rock. Does that mean that paper is always the best strategy? Matchups matter 1:1, and luck does, but it’s not the only thing.</p><p></p><p>If you want to say “but, head to head” or “quality of wins”, then your measuring stick is resume—stick with it.</p><p></p><p>You’re also confusing what I’m talking about in those posts. I said the committee was inconsistent in their criteria—using one set of standards to put Alabama and a different set to rule FSU out. They don’t have criteria—they have a public set of principles that they can rearrange at 2AM under pressure to get the results their sponsors want. If you do that, you can manipulate it to get any results you want—and they did. When justifying their decision, they said they were putting the best teams on the field—they weren’t, and they knew they weren’t. They just didn’t want to put FSU in over Alabama.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 991802, member: 282"] It looks like you’re mixing “deserves it” (resume) and “who looks like the strongest team”. They overlap, and Oregon losing to Washington helps Washington and hurts Oregon. First, I’ve said clearly I’d pick the teams that earned it on the field—Washington, Michigan, FSU, and Texas. That’s what a “most deserving” or resume system does. I’ve also explained how Oregon comes out ahead of Washington on most predictive “who is best” systems. If you have 13 games, and Oregon performs better than Washington on 11 of 13, then Oregon will come out ahead of Washington. The two head to head games will move Washington up and Oregon down, but not enough to overcome the other 11 games. In rock paper scissors, paper always beats rock. Does that mean that paper is always the best strategy? Matchups matter 1:1, and luck does, but it’s not the only thing. If you want to say “but, head to head” or “quality of wins”, then your measuring stick is resume—stick with it. You’re also confusing what I’m talking about in those posts. I said the committee was inconsistent in their criteria—using one set of standards to put Alabama and a different set to rule FSU out. They don’t have criteria—they have a public set of principles that they can rearrange at 2AM under pressure to get the results their sponsors want. If you do that, you can manipulate it to get any results you want—and they did. When justifying their decision, they said they were putting the best teams on the field—they weren’t, and they knew they weren’t. They just didn’t want to put FSU in over Alabama. [/QUOTE]
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