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Conference Realignment
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<blockquote data-quote="Ramblnwrek" data-source="post: 987262" data-attributes="member: 1227"><p>I’ll take a stab at it.</p><p></p><p>First, it’s an assumption that FSU would be undefeated in either conference. Which means they would have beat at least 2 top 10 teams. I have issues with the whole ranked teams at preseason which is totally based on prejudice, but it’s been that way for a while. </p><p></p><p>Second, we can assume that FSU has an unwritten agreement to another conference. We can also assume that that conference has said they will not pay for FSU to exit. Basically FSU has to get out on their own. FSU cannot think they can go independent, who are they going to play that gets their strength of schedule up? ND’s schedule is pretty set every year; they have so many ’rivals’, but if the other conferences go to one more conference game, even ND may be left out in the cold. They are pretty much coasting on their history. </p><p></p><p>Third, if the ACC does collapse, it won’t be the way people think. The ACC will stay but it will be the clear tier 2 with Big 12. This realignment is about the weaponization of each school’s fan based. Same as social media, how much of your attention can they point to specific ads, clothing brands, etc. I know a few uga fans and they REGULARLY buy new uga gear every year. That is more of the norm for SEC than specifically for Tech. The only reason the B1G/SEC are not more compact is they haven’t kicked out any one.(I have no idea if that is even possible or how) But if this trend continues, I see that being a possibility. </p><p></p><p>If the sum of the lessers is greater than the sum of the big 2. Then there might be need for a grand football conference (see Europe premier league) where conferences are null and you have to win consistently to stay at the top. Else, the playoff will be in name only and outside of Cinderella story. It’s only going to be one from those two, and they will change the rules to make it so. It takes a lot of money to keep these top teams at the top, and they will do whatever to do so.</p><p></p><p>FSU is basing their decision on being in a greener pasture so they can occasionally win. They have achieved saturation of their fan base. They can’t get bigger. Therefore they need a way to get more money. </p><p></p><p>For GT I only see the reason for either big 2 to give an invite is to get/deny the south to the other. Atlanta is more than just the capital of the south, it’s SUPER easy logistically from either side in any conference. This is a long term strategic move AND only works if the talent wants to stay in the region ( I don’t know if that is more true than not). Most do not look that far ahead and even if they did, can easily say other factors can change the math that far out. </p><p></p><p>Probably strayed from the original question. The only way ACC stays on top is if ACC can get parity revenue with the other big two. I don’t see that happening. FSU only tried to flex when after they sucked for the last 7 years. This domino fall started when their National Championship winning coach was hired away. ND should see the same issue, when a coach gets hired AWAY from ND your name is not as big as you think.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Ramblnwrek, post: 987262, member: 1227"] I’ll take a stab at it. First, it’s an assumption that FSU would be undefeated in either conference. Which means they would have beat at least 2 top 10 teams. I have issues with the whole ranked teams at preseason which is totally based on prejudice, but it’s been that way for a while. Second, we can assume that FSU has an unwritten agreement to another conference. We can also assume that that conference has said they will not pay for FSU to exit. Basically FSU has to get out on their own. FSU cannot think they can go independent, who are they going to play that gets their strength of schedule up? ND’s schedule is pretty set every year; they have so many ’rivals’, but if the other conferences go to one more conference game, even ND may be left out in the cold. They are pretty much coasting on their history. Third, if the ACC does collapse, it won’t be the way people think. The ACC will stay but it will be the clear tier 2 with Big 12. This realignment is about the weaponization of each school’s fan based. Same as social media, how much of your attention can they point to specific ads, clothing brands, etc. I know a few uga fans and they REGULARLY buy new uga gear every year. That is more of the norm for SEC than specifically for Tech. The only reason the B1G/SEC are not more compact is they haven’t kicked out any one.(I have no idea if that is even possible or how) But if this trend continues, I see that being a possibility. If the sum of the lessers is greater than the sum of the big 2. Then there might be need for a grand football conference (see Europe premier league) where conferences are null and you have to win consistently to stay at the top. Else, the playoff will be in name only and outside of Cinderella story. It’s only going to be one from those two, and they will change the rules to make it so. It takes a lot of money to keep these top teams at the top, and they will do whatever to do so. FSU is basing their decision on being in a greener pasture so they can occasionally win. They have achieved saturation of their fan base. They can’t get bigger. Therefore they need a way to get more money. For GT I only see the reason for either big 2 to give an invite is to get/deny the south to the other. Atlanta is more than just the capital of the south, it’s SUPER easy logistically from either side in any conference. This is a long term strategic move AND only works if the talent wants to stay in the region ( I don’t know if that is more true than not). Most do not look that far ahead and even if they did, can easily say other factors can change the math that far out. Probably strayed from the original question. The only way ACC stays on top is if ACC can get parity revenue with the other big two. I don’t see that happening. FSU only tried to flex when after they sucked for the last 7 years. This domino fall started when their National Championship winning coach was hired away. ND should see the same issue, when a coach gets hired AWAY from ND your name is not as big as you think. [/QUOTE]
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