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Conference Realignment
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<blockquote data-quote="Techster" data-source="post: 955731" data-attributes="member: 360"><p>Oregon and Washington are coming in at a "discount" temporarily. It's similar to what Maryland and Rutgers agreed to when they joined the B1G. Oregon and Washington will go "full share" on the next TV contract. Current contract started in July 2023, and will end in 2030. This is a 50+ year decision, so to say it's "bargain shopping" is misleading. Oregon and Washington won't always be "partial share" members. USC and UCLA only got full share because the new B1G contract was negotiated knowing they were both joining the B1G. The B1G has been adamant that all their members would be full share members. The only reason Oregon and Washington are getting partial share is because the B1G already closed their media contract with FOX, and B1G was able to get UW and UO to agree to come in at a partial rate earlier than anticipated with FOX underwriting it. </p><p></p><p>As for the rest...we'll see in 2036 (or sooner). Everyone has made a lot of guesses about realignment. Half have been right, half have been wrong. One thing is certain, realignment and conference consolidation is far from over. Even at the G5 level, I expect to see massive movement over the next decade, and quite a few of those G5 conferences will struggle to stay alive once big media decides they no longer need them for content and to allocate those savings to what most likely will become "The Big 3" conferences. There's already talk that the remaining PAC12 teams + a select group of AAC schools will command between $10-20 million per school from a blended media deal with several different media companies. That is a BIG drop in revenue for the remaining PAC12 schools...and a glimpse into the future of the "have nots". Stanford, because they have so many endowments, and because they can count on BILLIONAIRE donors, really will not be affected in terms of funding. They just want a place for their SAs to compete. Cal and the remaining PAC12 schools are probably in trouble once the current PAC12 contract terminates.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Techster, post: 955731, member: 360"] Oregon and Washington are coming in at a "discount" temporarily. It's similar to what Maryland and Rutgers agreed to when they joined the B1G. Oregon and Washington will go "full share" on the next TV contract. Current contract started in July 2023, and will end in 2030. This is a 50+ year decision, so to say it's "bargain shopping" is misleading. Oregon and Washington won't always be "partial share" members. USC and UCLA only got full share because the new B1G contract was negotiated knowing they were both joining the B1G. The B1G has been adamant that all their members would be full share members. The only reason Oregon and Washington are getting partial share is because the B1G already closed their media contract with FOX, and B1G was able to get UW and UO to agree to come in at a partial rate earlier than anticipated with FOX underwriting it. As for the rest...we'll see in 2036 (or sooner). Everyone has made a lot of guesses about realignment. Half have been right, half have been wrong. One thing is certain, realignment and conference consolidation is far from over. Even at the G5 level, I expect to see massive movement over the next decade, and quite a few of those G5 conferences will struggle to stay alive once big media decides they no longer need them for content and to allocate those savings to what most likely will become "The Big 3" conferences. There's already talk that the remaining PAC12 teams + a select group of AAC schools will command between $10-20 million per school from a blended media deal with several different media companies. That is a BIG drop in revenue for the remaining PAC12 schools...and a glimpse into the future of the "have nots". Stanford, because they have so many endowments, and because they can count on BILLIONAIRE donors, really will not be affected in terms of funding. They just want a place for their SAs to compete. Cal and the remaining PAC12 schools are probably in trouble once the current PAC12 contract terminates. [/QUOTE]
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