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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 949224" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I fully expect the ACC to be around in 2036. It will likely have a different set of members - though I believe more than 2/3 of the current members will still be members in 2036.</p><p></p><p>The piece so many fans seem to miss is that schools have to have somewhere to go in order to leave. They can ***** and moan all they want about wanting more money, but another conference has to be willing to pay them more money. My belief is that there are few schools left that bring enough value that the SEC or B1G would want to add them to their conference. They are not going to add a program that isn't additive overall to the bottom line for their members. </p><p></p><p>In many ways it reminds me of the transfer portal. Alot more players go into that portal than come out of it. Once you get in, many players find out their worth isn't what they thought. (Keep in mind in the 2021 Portal only 54% of players who went in found a new home).</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.collegefootballpoll.com/news/transfer-portal--nearly-half-the-players-dont-find-a-new-home/[/URL]</p><p></p><p>There is little incentive for programs to move between the little 3 (ACC, B12, PAC) - though B12 and ACC could likely pick off PAC schools at this time given their issues trying to get a TV contract right now, if the financials made sense for those 2 conferences. But moving between those 3 conferences is not going to increase your TV take in any significant way from what it is right now.</p><p>Only moving from the little 3 to the Big 2 makes financial sense, but how many programs in the little 3 have a legitimate shot of getting an offer from the Big 2. We might be down to 4-6 total for that.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 949224, member: 1776"] I fully expect the ACC to be around in 2036. It will likely have a different set of members - though I believe more than 2/3 of the current members will still be members in 2036. The piece so many fans seem to miss is that schools have to have somewhere to go in order to leave. They can ***** and moan all they want about wanting more money, but another conference has to be willing to pay them more money. My belief is that there are few schools left that bring enough value that the SEC or B1G would want to add them to their conference. They are not going to add a program that isn't additive overall to the bottom line for their members. In many ways it reminds me of the transfer portal. Alot more players go into that portal than come out of it. Once you get in, many players find out their worth isn't what they thought. (Keep in mind in the 2021 Portal only 54% of players who went in found a new home). [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.collegefootballpoll.com/news/transfer-portal--nearly-half-the-players-dont-find-a-new-home/[/URL] There is little incentive for programs to move between the little 3 (ACC, B12, PAC) - though B12 and ACC could likely pick off PAC schools at this time given their issues trying to get a TV contract right now, if the financials made sense for those 2 conferences. But moving between those 3 conferences is not going to increase your TV take in any significant way from what it is right now. Only moving from the little 3 to the Big 2 makes financial sense, but how many programs in the little 3 have a legitimate shot of getting an offer from the Big 2. We might be down to 4-6 total for that. [/QUOTE]
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