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<blockquote data-quote="RonJohn" data-source="post: 883429" data-attributes="member: 2426"><p>I see a big difference. ESPN was smart and scheduled their distributor contracts to never end at the same time and to end at big moments in sports. If ESPN were to disappear from a cable/sat package two weeks before college football starts a large chunk of that providers subscribers <strong>will move</strong> to a different provider. It might only be 20%, but the providers can't afford to lose 20% quickly. Whether they actually watch games or not, they want access to college football. Compare that to something like Judge Judy. There might be 30% of subscribers who watch Judge Judy, but if that station disappears, they will just watch something else. They won't change providers because of it.</p><p></p><p>This whole business model is going to implode. The only reasons that live TV packages still exist are: Live sports, live awards shows, live news, and older people who have always had and always will a TV subscription package. You can find live news without a subscription now. Eventually that business model will fail. Unless something happens, ESPN will probably be divested from Disney at some point. ESPN will either have to find new sources of revenue (probably something like sports betting), or it won't be able to keep up with it's contractual obligations to pay for broadcast rights. </p><p></p><p>I have thought 10 or more years ago that the change would have occurred before now. My impression is that the Big10 and SEC are milking the current system for all they can while preparing for the next business environment. My impression of the ACC is that they are following on the coattails of the other conferences and not looking at what is next.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RonJohn, post: 883429, member: 2426"] I see a big difference. ESPN was smart and scheduled their distributor contracts to never end at the same time and to end at big moments in sports. If ESPN were to disappear from a cable/sat package two weeks before college football starts a large chunk of that providers subscribers [B]will move[/B] to a different provider. It might only be 20%, but the providers can't afford to lose 20% quickly. Whether they actually watch games or not, they want access to college football. Compare that to something like Judge Judy. There might be 30% of subscribers who watch Judge Judy, but if that station disappears, they will just watch something else. They won't change providers because of it. This whole business model is going to implode. The only reasons that live TV packages still exist are: Live sports, live awards shows, live news, and older people who have always had and always will a TV subscription package. You can find live news without a subscription now. Eventually that business model will fail. Unless something happens, ESPN will probably be divested from Disney at some point. ESPN will either have to find new sources of revenue (probably something like sports betting), or it won't be able to keep up with it's contractual obligations to pay for broadcast rights. I have thought 10 or more years ago that the change would have occurred before now. My impression is that the Big10 and SEC are milking the current system for all they can while preparing for the next business environment. My impression of the ACC is that they are following on the coattails of the other conferences and not looking at what is next. [/QUOTE]
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