Home
Articles
Photos
Interviews
Forums
New posts
Search forums
Georgia Tech Recruiting
Dashboard
What's new
New posts
New profile posts
Latest activity
Chat
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Home
Forums
Georgia Tech Athletics
Georgia Tech Football
Conference Realignment
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 882528" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I think the ACC will exist in 2036, I do not think it will have the exact same 14 members it does now.</p><p></p><p>I do not think more than 4 current schools in the ACC will leave the conference and I'd take the under rather than the over.</p><p></p><p>Fans who think the ACC is going to fall apart because the SEC an B10 combined are going to pick off 8 teams are setting themselves up for disappointment. There likely aren't that many teams that the 2 conferences would want.</p><p></p><p>The next major inflection point will be the CFP and what happens there. if the Big 2 decide to break away and have their own championship they will first try to bring ND into the fold and will likely add maybe 2 more teams each. I doubt it goes more than that. There simply aren't enough programs that are additive to the conferences to keep adding teams. I don't see the Big 2 adding as many programs as some fans think. At some point diminishing returns will kick in for them and it appears we are already getting close to that point (ie, Oregon and Washington not being able to jump into the Big 2 even though there is no financial/legal penalty for the new conference to take them).</p><p></p><p>If their is an expanded CFP that guarantees a slot for each of the P5 conferences and a way for ND to qualify I think there will be potentially even fewer teams going to the Big 2 than if they stage their own. In that case there is basically no reason for the big 2 to expand their conference size (and share their wealth) and the best schools in the other conferences have a way to get to the CFP (even if they are making less money).</p><p></p><p>Some school at some point will probably take on the GoR, but that is likely years down the road and it will be a calculated gamble. Keep in mind every school has a copy of the GoR for their conference so every school that has ever thought about challenging one has been able to have lawyers look at it. No one has decided to take them on yet. If a school challenges a GoR it will be after they determine when the best time to do so is, from a highest reward vs lowest risk calculation. </p><p></p><p>Keep in mind all these media contracts increase over time, so the bigger differences in contract values will be at the end of the contracts not the beginning. So the B10 contract may pay out $100MM eventually, but it likely won't do so in 2025, more likely in 2035.</p><p> </p><p>There is never going to be a Big 3. There is going to be a Big 2. It doesn't matter what the ACC/B12/PAC do, they are never going to have media deals at the same level as the B10 and SEC because they don't have as valuable properties. The SEC and B10 have mostly large schools (and in the B10 case in major markets) with large fanbases. The other 3 conferences have schools that are somewhat smaller in size with lower viewership. Without a more professional league style regulation this means one of 2 outcomes. Either the P5 continue to play together but the Big 2 have a significant financial advantage over the other 3, or you have 2 separate tiers with the Big 2 basically playing within themselves and the other P3 playing within themselves.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 882528, member: 1776"] I think the ACC will exist in 2036, I do not think it will have the exact same 14 members it does now. I do not think more than 4 current schools in the ACC will leave the conference and I'd take the under rather than the over. Fans who think the ACC is going to fall apart because the SEC an B10 combined are going to pick off 8 teams are setting themselves up for disappointment. There likely aren't that many teams that the 2 conferences would want. The next major inflection point will be the CFP and what happens there. if the Big 2 decide to break away and have their own championship they will first try to bring ND into the fold and will likely add maybe 2 more teams each. I doubt it goes more than that. There simply aren't enough programs that are additive to the conferences to keep adding teams. I don't see the Big 2 adding as many programs as some fans think. At some point diminishing returns will kick in for them and it appears we are already getting close to that point (ie, Oregon and Washington not being able to jump into the Big 2 even though there is no financial/legal penalty for the new conference to take them). If their is an expanded CFP that guarantees a slot for each of the P5 conferences and a way for ND to qualify I think there will be potentially even fewer teams going to the Big 2 than if they stage their own. In that case there is basically no reason for the big 2 to expand their conference size (and share their wealth) and the best schools in the other conferences have a way to get to the CFP (even if they are making less money). Some school at some point will probably take on the GoR, but that is likely years down the road and it will be a calculated gamble. Keep in mind every school has a copy of the GoR for their conference so every school that has ever thought about challenging one has been able to have lawyers look at it. No one has decided to take them on yet. If a school challenges a GoR it will be after they determine when the best time to do so is, from a highest reward vs lowest risk calculation. Keep in mind all these media contracts increase over time, so the bigger differences in contract values will be at the end of the contracts not the beginning. So the B10 contract may pay out $100MM eventually, but it likely won't do so in 2025, more likely in 2035. There is never going to be a Big 3. There is going to be a Big 2. It doesn't matter what the ACC/B12/PAC do, they are never going to have media deals at the same level as the B10 and SEC because they don't have as valuable properties. The SEC and B10 have mostly large schools (and in the B10 case in major markets) with large fanbases. The other 3 conferences have schools that are somewhat smaller in size with lower viewership. Without a more professional league style regulation this means one of 2 outcomes. Either the P5 continue to play together but the Big 2 have a significant financial advantage over the other 3, or you have 2 separate tiers with the Big 2 basically playing within themselves and the other P3 playing within themselves. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
How many points did Georgia Tech score against Cumberland in 1916?
Post reply
Home
Forums
Georgia Tech Athletics
Georgia Tech Football
Conference Realignment
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top