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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 882384" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I'll make the same statement here that I made on another board. My totally kooky take on expansion is that in 2036 the ACC will still exist and at least 2/3 of its current membership will still be in it.</p><p>If i'm wrong i'm wrong, but i've seen nothing in the last 7 days that suggest any doom is imminent.</p><p></p><p>FWIW, the Iowa AD said today that while the conference has received interest since the USC and UCLA announcement that right now the B10 is not planning on any more expansion. </p><p></p><p>I'll be interested to see who the first school will be who will try to take on the contracts as it will be a very precarious place to be. It's sort of a chicken and egg game. There are likely some schools that would be interested in leaving, but financially there is no way for them to do so unless they can get a favorable court judgement. Meanwhile there may be a handful of schools that the Big 2 would be interested in, but they aren't going to provide an invite unless all the potential legal issues are resolved. But a school isn't going to want to take on the legal jeopardy without knowing for sure they can move. </p><p></p><p>ACC has a exit fee that basically increases every year as it is tied to 3x the TV distribution. Then you have the GoR. That's not about paying money, that is about losing revenue for both the school and its new conference. As the lawyer who said he had seen the GoR stated, it is not even clear where you would file the claim, so you could easily spend a year or more in the legal system just trying to get a decision on where you would have to file suit. </p><p></p><p>I don't expect the ACC of 2036 to be the same as the ACC of 2022, but I don't think it is going to fall apart and disappear either. So far no P5 conference has fallen apart - even when losing its best programs.</p><p>I don't think the Big 2 are nearly as keen on expanding to the size that alot of fans are expecting. If they were then more Pac and B12 schools would be getting grabbed. </p><p></p><p>At some point there will be more movement. In the short term I think if there is any it will likely involve PAC and B12 teams. I don't see any ACC teams leaving in 2022. Frankly, I don't see any ACC teams leaving in the next few years unless ND jumps to the B10.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 882384, member: 1776"] I'll make the same statement here that I made on another board. My totally kooky take on expansion is that in 2036 the ACC will still exist and at least 2/3 of its current membership will still be in it. If i'm wrong i'm wrong, but i've seen nothing in the last 7 days that suggest any doom is imminent. FWIW, the Iowa AD said today that while the conference has received interest since the USC and UCLA announcement that right now the B10 is not planning on any more expansion. I'll be interested to see who the first school will be who will try to take on the contracts as it will be a very precarious place to be. It's sort of a chicken and egg game. There are likely some schools that would be interested in leaving, but financially there is no way for them to do so unless they can get a favorable court judgement. Meanwhile there may be a handful of schools that the Big 2 would be interested in, but they aren't going to provide an invite unless all the potential legal issues are resolved. But a school isn't going to want to take on the legal jeopardy without knowing for sure they can move. ACC has a exit fee that basically increases every year as it is tied to 3x the TV distribution. Then you have the GoR. That's not about paying money, that is about losing revenue for both the school and its new conference. As the lawyer who said he had seen the GoR stated, it is not even clear where you would file the claim, so you could easily spend a year or more in the legal system just trying to get a decision on where you would have to file suit. I don't expect the ACC of 2036 to be the same as the ACC of 2022, but I don't think it is going to fall apart and disappear either. So far no P5 conference has fallen apart - even when losing its best programs. I don't think the Big 2 are nearly as keen on expanding to the size that alot of fans are expecting. If they were then more Pac and B12 schools would be getting grabbed. At some point there will be more movement. In the short term I think if there is any it will likely involve PAC and B12 teams. I don't see any ACC teams leaving in 2022. Frankly, I don't see any ACC teams leaving in the next few years unless ND jumps to the B10. [/QUOTE]
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