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<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 882301" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>I'm not really expecting much more movement until we get closer to the CFP expiring. Probably around 2024-2025.</p><p></p><p>IMO any P5 movement for the next 2 years is likely to PAC and B12 related and most likely them trying to raid each other as both have TV contract negotiations coming up (PAC's media rights expire in 2024 and B12 in 2025).</p><p></p><p>I don't expect SEC or B10 to try to poach any teams from the ACC in the short term. It is likely financially prohibitive right now for any ACC team to bolt or for any conference to take them in.</p><p>Note that the 4 big schools that are going to switch conferences are all doing so after their conference GoR expires (even though they only have a couple of years left).</p><p></p><p>B10 seems pretty happy to stand pat until they see what ND does. I expect as the PAC GoR ends they make another run at ND and see if it changes its mind.</p><p></p><p>For the ACC the exit fee is an escalating cost. It is 3X the annual conference distribution (so for 2021 this would be $96MM) plus of course unless you win a court case you and your new conference get no money from televising your games until 2036 (which would amount to multiple hundreds of millions of dollars over the next decade+).</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 882301, member: 1776"] I'm not really expecting much more movement until we get closer to the CFP expiring. Probably around 2024-2025. IMO any P5 movement for the next 2 years is likely to PAC and B12 related and most likely them trying to raid each other as both have TV contract negotiations coming up (PAC's media rights expire in 2024 and B12 in 2025). I don't expect SEC or B10 to try to poach any teams from the ACC in the short term. It is likely financially prohibitive right now for any ACC team to bolt or for any conference to take them in. Note that the 4 big schools that are going to switch conferences are all doing so after their conference GoR expires (even though they only have a couple of years left). B10 seems pretty happy to stand pat until they see what ND does. I expect as the PAC GoR ends they make another run at ND and see if it changes its mind. For the ACC the exit fee is an escalating cost. It is 3X the annual conference distribution (so for 2021 this would be $96MM) plus of course unless you win a court case you and your new conference get no money from televising your games until 2036 (which would amount to multiple hundreds of millions of dollars over the next decade+). [/QUOTE]
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