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<blockquote data-quote="Augusta_Jacket" data-source="post: 881851" data-attributes="member: 1191"><p>We are spending a LOT of ink (pixels?) on the possibility of going to the B1G, but we are ignoring some major roadblocks that stand in the way.</p><p></p><p>1. <strong><u> Grant of Rights.</u></strong> As I understand it, the ONLY way out of that is for the ACC to willingly dissolve. Let's say the B1G and $EC poach GT, Clemson, FSU, Miami, UNC, and 2-3 other teams, that would be roughly half the conference. While the money difference would be enough to pay out the exit fee, there is almost NO WAY the remaining schools are going to agree to dissolve the ACC and lose the TV money from the marquee names. Currently there are 14 years remaining on the deal. That's a LOT of revenue lost without any real prospects of making it up, since the remaining schools will have less drawing power.</p><p></p><p>2. <strong><u>Notre Dame.</u></strong> ND does not want to be in the B1G. Had they wanted to, they could have had the same deal with the B1G that they have with us. Also, ND is contractually obligated to join the ACC if the decide to join any conference before 2036. While this contract is a whole lot easier to break than the GoR, we should take ND at their word that they don't see themselves as a B1G team. Every indication they have given, including sacrificing the Michigan rivalry. It's my opinion that ND also does not see themselves in the $EC either. For those that say ND will never sacrifice football independence, I think the day is coming where they have to.</p><p></p><p>3. <strong><u>End Game.</u></strong> As has been speculated, I believe the $EC and B1G both desire to move all their sports, not just the football teams, away from the NCAA umbrella. Ideally, they would both love to carve up the ACC and the remnants of the PAC and Big XII, but the GOR of the ACC prevent that. Two realistic options remain for the B1G and SEC, one is to wait out the time, likely 'til at least 2030 and try to expand then (which postpones the breakaway from the NCAA 'til then) or, the $EC and B1G both accept the ACC as the third remaining power conference and each fills out to 20 to 24 teams.</p><p></p><p>Now, while my strong preference would be to see GT return to the $EC, and a move to the B1G would not bother me, the ACC is in a position holding more than a few cards here at the moment. Because our teams are not poachable, we are in position to retain our position in the top 3 of conferences. My gut feeling is that the $EC, B1G, and ACC commissioners get together and hammer out the details for their own playoff, and force ND to join a conference, which would be the ACC. To sweeten this, I think the ACC invites Stanford and Navy to give ND two permanent rivals as conference games. It would also add Kansas as a basketball school to an already proud BBall conference. I think the $EC responds with Oklahoma St and California (Recruiting on the west coast) and the B1G gobbles up Oregon and Arizona (both AAU schools).</p><p></p><p>That would put 18 teams in each of the three remaining power conferences, leaving 18 current P5 teams remaining. It's likely then that the remaining teams for a PAC/Big XII merger as conference 4, meaning there will be 72 teams in the new breakaway division. Four 18-team conferences are a lot more manageable than two 25-30 team conferences, and will allow the new entity to bring a very large lever to the TV bargaining table. Such a move would necessitate ESPN revisiting the ACC TV contract. This would allow the TV contracts to be redone in the next 2-3 years and allow for a quicker breakaway from the NCAA. </p><p></p><p>Now, I may be completely wrong, but there is a LOT of logic to this IMO.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="Augusta_Jacket, post: 881851, member: 1191"] We are spending a LOT of ink (pixels?) on the possibility of going to the B1G, but we are ignoring some major roadblocks that stand in the way. 1. [B][U] Grant of Rights.[/U][/B] As I understand it, the ONLY way out of that is for the ACC to willingly dissolve. Let's say the B1G and $EC poach GT, Clemson, FSU, Miami, UNC, and 2-3 other teams, that would be roughly half the conference. While the money difference would be enough to pay out the exit fee, there is almost NO WAY the remaining schools are going to agree to dissolve the ACC and lose the TV money from the marquee names. Currently there are 14 years remaining on the deal. That's a LOT of revenue lost without any real prospects of making it up, since the remaining schools will have less drawing power. 2. [B][U]Notre Dame.[/U][/B] ND does not want to be in the B1G. Had they wanted to, they could have had the same deal with the B1G that they have with us. Also, ND is contractually obligated to join the ACC if the decide to join any conference before 2036. While this contract is a whole lot easier to break than the GoR, we should take ND at their word that they don't see themselves as a B1G team. Every indication they have given, including sacrificing the Michigan rivalry. It's my opinion that ND also does not see themselves in the $EC either. For those that say ND will never sacrifice football independence, I think the day is coming where they have to. 3. [U] [/U][B][U]End Game.[/U][/B] As has been speculated, I believe the $EC and B1G both desire to move all their sports, not just the football teams, away from the NCAA umbrella. Ideally, they would both love to carve up the ACC and the remnants of the PAC and Big XII, but the GOR of the ACC prevent that. Two realistic options remain for the B1G and SEC, one is to wait out the time, likely 'til at least 2030 and try to expand then (which postpones the breakaway from the NCAA 'til then) or, the $EC and B1G both accept the ACC as the third remaining power conference and each fills out to 20 to 24 teams. Now, while my strong preference would be to see GT return to the $EC, and a move to the B1G would not bother me, the ACC is in a position holding more than a few cards here at the moment. Because our teams are not poachable, we are in position to retain our position in the top 3 of conferences. My gut feeling is that the $EC, B1G, and ACC commissioners get together and hammer out the details for their own playoff, and force ND to join a conference, which would be the ACC. To sweeten this, I think the ACC invites Stanford and Navy to give ND two permanent rivals as conference games. It would also add Kansas as a basketball school to an already proud BBall conference. I think the $EC responds with Oklahoma St and California (Recruiting on the west coast) and the B1G gobbles up Oregon and Arizona (both AAU schools). That would put 18 teams in each of the three remaining power conferences, leaving 18 current P5 teams remaining. It's likely then that the remaining teams for a PAC/Big XII merger as conference 4, meaning there will be 72 teams in the new breakaway division. Four 18-team conferences are a lot more manageable than two 25-30 team conferences, and will allow the new entity to bring a very large lever to the TV bargaining table. Such a move would necessitate ESPN revisiting the ACC TV contract. This would allow the TV contracts to be redone in the next 2-3 years and allow for a quicker breakaway from the NCAA. Now, I may be completely wrong, but there is a LOT of logic to this IMO. [/QUOTE]
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