Home
Articles
Photos
Interviews
Forums
New posts
Search forums
Georgia Tech Recruiting
Dashboard
What's new
New posts
New profile posts
Latest activity
Chat
Log in
Register
What's new
Search
Search
Search titles only
By:
New posts
Search forums
Menu
Log in
Register
Install the app
Install
Home
Forums
Georgia Tech Athletics
Georgia Tech Football
Conference Realignment
JavaScript is disabled. For a better experience, please enable JavaScript in your browser before proceeding.
You are using an out of date browser. It may not display this or other websites correctly.
You should upgrade or use an
alternative browser
.
Reply to thread
Message
<blockquote data-quote="RamblinRed" data-source="post: 881846" data-attributes="member: 1776"><p>That article on ND is why I think 2025 is the next inflection point.</p><p></p><p>ND values 2 things. Their independence and access to the CFP. If the CFP becomes no more after 2026 and the SEC and B10 basically decide to have their own playoff (basically the Tier 1 that we have talked about in the past), then ND has to make a decision on which of those 2 things it values more. </p><p>I don't think anything else is going to happen until ND gets to a point where it has to make that decision.</p><p></p><p>Based on what we are seeing with Washington and Oregon, it is pretty clear that there are no college football brands left that are big enough to make the SEC and B10 make a move until the legal and financial considerations are more in their favor. If B10 is not going to take Washington and/or Oregon now when there is basically no legal or financial complications, that just tells me there are not really any programs that are all that attractive to the SEC or the B10 if there are any potential financial or legal complications. </p><p></p><p>Fans have to remember that the schools are not in charge of this process and really don't control their destinies. B10 and SEC will act when it makes sense for them to act. Unless ND was to make a move to the B10 (and imo ND will try to hold off on that as long as possible) I don't think much else happens right now with the Big 2. Things will almost certainly heat up between the Pac10 and B12 as they both have expiring TV contracts so they have to make themselves as attractive as possible to see what they can get. that largely leaves them with 2 choices, the most valuable teams from each conference teaming up in a new conference, or one conference picks apart the other for its best assets. But for right now the ACC is relatively protected by its GoR from all of that, though that will not always be the case.</p><p></p><p>ESPN has been shedding viewers for years. Fox Sports isn't really any better. Also, viewership of college football is really not in a great place - especially in terms of the CFP.</p><p>The numbers for this past season were better than for the COVID season, but still well below the typical. The AL-Cincy game was the 2nd least watched Semifinal ever and the UGA-Mich game was the least watched game in the late window ever. The Championship game between AL-UGA was the 2nd least watched ever, better than only the COVID AL-OSU game.</p><p></p><p>I do wonder if the lower subscriber numbers and lower viewership ultimately create something of a bubble where eventually ESPN and FOX are not able to continue to payout the levels that are being discussed now.</p><p></p><p>Personally i'm quite agnostic on what happens to GT. If it ultimately gets a bid to the B10 then great, though I believe it is likely that GT is likely to be more of a cannon fodder school in that conference. GT simply lacks the fan and alumni base to compete with most of the schools in the B10 (and SEC). OSU raises more than $!00MM in revenue from its home football games every year - GT's total budget isn't even that large. If GT ends up in a future Tier 2 type conference, i'm fine with that to - that is basically what GT is right now. I will support the program and root for the coaches and players regardless of what conference they are in. </p><p></p><p>I don't believe the ACC is likely to be the same in the 2030's as it is now, but I don't believe it is in imminent danger right now. All any school can do is put itself in its most attractive position over the next few years and see how the chips fall. I'm still not convinced that the Big 2 even get to 20 teams, and i'm really suspect that they would go to more than that -I don't believe the money will be there to support that.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RamblinRed, post: 881846, member: 1776"] That article on ND is why I think 2025 is the next inflection point. ND values 2 things. Their independence and access to the CFP. If the CFP becomes no more after 2026 and the SEC and B10 basically decide to have their own playoff (basically the Tier 1 that we have talked about in the past), then ND has to make a decision on which of those 2 things it values more. I don't think anything else is going to happen until ND gets to a point where it has to make that decision. Based on what we are seeing with Washington and Oregon, it is pretty clear that there are no college football brands left that are big enough to make the SEC and B10 make a move until the legal and financial considerations are more in their favor. If B10 is not going to take Washington and/or Oregon now when there is basically no legal or financial complications, that just tells me there are not really any programs that are all that attractive to the SEC or the B10 if there are any potential financial or legal complications. Fans have to remember that the schools are not in charge of this process and really don't control their destinies. B10 and SEC will act when it makes sense for them to act. Unless ND was to make a move to the B10 (and imo ND will try to hold off on that as long as possible) I don't think much else happens right now with the Big 2. Things will almost certainly heat up between the Pac10 and B12 as they both have expiring TV contracts so they have to make themselves as attractive as possible to see what they can get. that largely leaves them with 2 choices, the most valuable teams from each conference teaming up in a new conference, or one conference picks apart the other for its best assets. But for right now the ACC is relatively protected by its GoR from all of that, though that will not always be the case. ESPN has been shedding viewers for years. Fox Sports isn't really any better. Also, viewership of college football is really not in a great place - especially in terms of the CFP. The numbers for this past season were better than for the COVID season, but still well below the typical. The AL-Cincy game was the 2nd least watched Semifinal ever and the UGA-Mich game was the least watched game in the late window ever. The Championship game between AL-UGA was the 2nd least watched ever, better than only the COVID AL-OSU game. I do wonder if the lower subscriber numbers and lower viewership ultimately create something of a bubble where eventually ESPN and FOX are not able to continue to payout the levels that are being discussed now. Personally i'm quite agnostic on what happens to GT. If it ultimately gets a bid to the B10 then great, though I believe it is likely that GT is likely to be more of a cannon fodder school in that conference. GT simply lacks the fan and alumni base to compete with most of the schools in the B10 (and SEC). OSU raises more than $!00MM in revenue from its home football games every year - GT's total budget isn't even that large. If GT ends up in a future Tier 2 type conference, i'm fine with that to - that is basically what GT is right now. I will support the program and root for the coaches and players regardless of what conference they are in. I don't believe the ACC is likely to be the same in the 2030's as it is now, but I don't believe it is in imminent danger right now. All any school can do is put itself in its most attractive position over the next few years and see how the chips fall. I'm still not convinced that the Big 2 even get to 20 teams, and i'm really suspect that they would go to more than that -I don't believe the money will be there to support that. [/QUOTE]
Insert quotes…
Verification
What jersey number did Joshua Nesbitt wear?
Post reply
Home
Forums
Georgia Tech Athletics
Georgia Tech Football
Conference Realignment
This site uses cookies to help personalise content, tailor your experience and to keep you logged in if you register.
By continuing to use this site, you are consenting to our use of cookies.
Accept
Learn more…
Top