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Coach Brent Key Scenario
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<blockquote data-quote="JacketOff" data-source="post: 903671" data-attributes="member: 4572"><p>You’re absolutely right. The problem is, it’s hard to WIN your first year at a new job. Meaning our already divided fanbase would be divided even further with a new coach who doesn’t WIN in year 1. Making WINNING in year 2 an even steeper task. Let’s look at some of college football’s recent new hires and their first year at a new school:</p><p></p><p>Kirby Smart - Georgia 2016: 7-5 Losses to GT and Vandy</p><p></p><p>Brian Harsin - Auburn 2021: 6-6</p><p></p><p>Shane Beamer - South Carolina 2021: 6-6</p><p></p><p>Mack Brown - North Carolina 2019: 6-6</p><p></p><p>Steve Sarkisian - Texas 2021: 5-7</p><p></p><p>Mel Tucker - Colorado 2019: 5-7</p><p>Michigan State 2020: 2-5</p><p></p><p>James Franklin - Penn State 2014: 6-6</p><p></p><p>Mike Norvell - Florida State 2020: 3-6</p><p></p><p>Neal Brown - West Virginia 2019: 5-7</p><p></p><p>Matt Wells - Texas Tech 2019: 4-8</p><p></p><p>Mike Locksley - Maryland 2019: 3-9</p><p></p><p>Greg Schiano - Rutgers 2020: 3-6</p><p></p><p>Scott Frost - Nebraska 2018: 4-8</p><p></p><p>Chip Kelly - UCLA 2018: 4-8</p><p></p><p>Lance Leipold - Kansas 2021: 2-10</p><p></p><p>PJ Fleck - Minnesota 2017: 5-7</p><p></p><p>So far this year: Brent Venables at Oklahoma is 3-3,</p><p>Tony Elliot at UVA is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC,</p><p>Brent Pry at VT is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC,</p><p>Mike Elko is doing solid work at 4-2 with Duke</p><p>Mario Cristobal is 2-3 at Miami</p><p>Lincoln Riley looks really good, 6-0 at USC</p><p>Billy Napier is meh at Florida, 4-2 with L’s to big rivals in Kentucky and Tennessee, could’ve lost to USF as well.</p><p></p><p>The point is: some of those coaches remained stinkers, some had their programs do a complete 180. What they all have in common though, they struggled their first year. A lot of those first years were steps backwards from where most of those programs were in the previous years. The average record for most first year coaches is right at 5-7. So the question is, if we have a guy who can go 6-2 in 8 games, why would we take a massive risk and a potentially huge set back to go out and hire somebody else who might not be able to match that record? If Key finishes 6-2 he would have a <em><strong>ton </strong></em>of momentum and support from the fanbase. Hire somebody that messes that up and it could be another brutal few years.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="JacketOff, post: 903671, member: 4572"] You’re absolutely right. The problem is, it’s hard to WIN your first year at a new job. Meaning our already divided fanbase would be divided even further with a new coach who doesn’t WIN in year 1. Making WINNING in year 2 an even steeper task. Let’s look at some of college football’s recent new hires and their first year at a new school: Kirby Smart - Georgia 2016: 7-5 Losses to GT and Vandy Brian Harsin - Auburn 2021: 6-6 Shane Beamer - South Carolina 2021: 6-6 Mack Brown - North Carolina 2019: 6-6 Steve Sarkisian - Texas 2021: 5-7 Mel Tucker - Colorado 2019: 5-7 Michigan State 2020: 2-5 James Franklin - Penn State 2014: 6-6 Mike Norvell - Florida State 2020: 3-6 Neal Brown - West Virginia 2019: 5-7 Matt Wells - Texas Tech 2019: 4-8 Mike Locksley - Maryland 2019: 3-9 Greg Schiano - Rutgers 2020: 3-6 Scott Frost - Nebraska 2018: 4-8 Chip Kelly - UCLA 2018: 4-8 Lance Leipold - Kansas 2021: 2-10 PJ Fleck - Minnesota 2017: 5-7 So far this year: Brent Venables at Oklahoma is 3-3, Tony Elliot at UVA is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC, Brent Pry at VT is 2-4 with possibly the worst team in the ACC, Mike Elko is doing solid work at 4-2 with Duke Mario Cristobal is 2-3 at Miami Lincoln Riley looks really good, 6-0 at USC Billy Napier is meh at Florida, 4-2 with L’s to big rivals in Kentucky and Tennessee, could’ve lost to USF as well. The point is: some of those coaches remained stinkers, some had their programs do a complete 180. What they all have in common though, they struggled their first year. A lot of those first years were steps backwards from where most of those programs were in the previous years. The average record for most first year coaches is right at 5-7. So the question is, if we have a guy who can go 6-2 in 8 games, why would we take a massive risk and a potentially huge set back to go out and hire somebody else who might not be able to match that record? If Key finishes 6-2 he would have a [I][B]ton [/B][/I]of momentum and support from the fanbase. Hire somebody that messes that up and it could be another brutal few years. [/QUOTE]
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