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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 149129" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Agree about the tourney IF and only if we keep playing like we have. We have 7 ACC games left. And we are tied with Wake for 8th/9th place. <strong>Suppose we keep playing like yesterday</strong>, then I'd expect we <strong>lose to Clemson today, take 2 from Pitt (who is awful) and get swept by Miami</strong>. That would be 2-5 and put <strong>GT 6 games</strong> <strong>under 500 </strong>at 12-18. With that scenario (and gobs of guesses below), we don't make it. </p><p></p><p>Here's the other bottom dwellers with gobs of guesses based on RPI and game location:</p><p><u>Wake</u>: -3 to 500 currently; games to go are 1 with ND, 3 with NCState, 3 @ Duke. Guess go 3-4, end at <strong>-4 (</strong>=-3-1).</p><p><u>VT</u> (GT has tie breaker): -5; 2 @ Duke, 3 BC; 3@Pitt. Guess 5-4, end at<strong> -4</strong>.</p><p><u>NC State</u>: -3; 2 UVa, 3@Wake, 3@Louisville. Guess 3-5, end at <strong>-5</strong>.</p><p><u>BC </u>(BC has tie breaker): -4; 1 @UNC, 3 @VT, 3 ND. Guess 3-4, end at <strong>-5</strong>.</p><p><u>Duke</u> (GT has tie breaker): -9; 2 VT, 3@UVa, 3 Wake. Guess 3-4, end at <strong>-8</strong>.</p><p><u>Pitt</u> (GT should have tie breaker): -9; 3 Miami, 3@GT, 3 VT. Guess 2-7, end at <strong>-14</strong>.</p><p></p><p>But<strong> if we do as I expect and win 3 or more of the next 7 games</strong>, then we are 3-4 and <strong>end up at 8th or 9th</strong>. We are getting hit hard by the injury bug - Pabst hand (kind of important for catcher), Kel has been hobbled and awful at the plate, Spignola out with ankle and lost pitchers (Ben S + Stanton + ?). I'll also guess our RPI will go from 26th to 35th. That should be good enough to get into the #3 or #4 seed.</p><p></p><p>It all starts this afternoon. But regardless of whether we back into the ACC tourney or not, I don't see us making a run with our pitching depth and injuries. Last year, we were getting better after a dismal start defensively. This year our defense is getting erratic, offense is slumping even against BC type light weights and pitching is very thin. </p><p></p><p>It is what it is. I'll keep following and do expect us to be much better next year (no sarcasm) since we aren't losing much this year. But that's another post after the draft......</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 149129, member: 322"] Agree about the tourney IF and only if we keep playing like we have. We have 7 ACC games left. And we are tied with Wake for 8th/9th place. [B]Suppose we keep playing like yesterday[/B], then I'd expect we [B]lose to Clemson today, take 2 from Pitt (who is awful) and get swept by Miami[/B]. That would be 2-5 and put [B]GT 6 games[/B] [B]under 500 [/B]at 12-18. With that scenario (and gobs of guesses below), we don't make it. Here's the other bottom dwellers with gobs of guesses based on RPI and game location: [U]Wake[/U]: -3 to 500 currently; games to go are 1 with ND, 3 with NCState, 3 @ Duke. Guess go 3-4, end at [B]-4 ([/B]=-3-1). [U]VT[/U] (GT has tie breaker): -5; 2 @ Duke, 3 BC; 3@Pitt. Guess 5-4, end at[B] -4[/B]. [U]NC State[/U]: -3; 2 UVa, 3@Wake, 3@Louisville. Guess 3-5, end at [B]-5[/B]. [U]BC [/U](BC has tie breaker): -4; 1 @UNC, 3 @VT, 3 ND. Guess 3-4, end at [B]-5[/B]. [U]Duke[/U] (GT has tie breaker): -9; 2 VT, 3@UVa, 3 Wake. Guess 3-4, end at [B]-8[/B]. [U]Pitt[/U] (GT should have tie breaker): -9; 3 Miami, 3@GT, 3 VT. Guess 2-7, end at [B]-14[/B]. But[B] if we do as I expect and win 3 or more of the next 7 games[/B], then we are 3-4 and [B]end up at 8th or 9th[/B]. We are getting hit hard by the injury bug - Pabst hand (kind of important for catcher), Kel has been hobbled and awful at the plate, Spignola out with ankle and lost pitchers (Ben S + Stanton + ?). I'll also guess our RPI will go from 26th to 35th. That should be good enough to get into the #3 or #4 seed. It all starts this afternoon. But regardless of whether we back into the ACC tourney or not, I don't see us making a run with our pitching depth and injuries. Last year, we were getting better after a dismal start defensively. This year our defense is getting erratic, offense is slumping even against BC type light weights and pitching is very thin. It is what it is. I'll keep following and do expect us to be much better next year (no sarcasm) since we aren't losing much this year. But that's another post after the draft...... [/QUOTE]
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