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<blockquote data-quote="GTCHE99" data-source="post: 917039" data-attributes="member: 6187"><p>I think the chance is much closer to 0.4%. Basically we have to beat UGA to get a bowl bid or bowl eligible teams will have to decline an invitation.</p><p></p><p>9 openings, we are 6th in order for APR, so only 3 teams below us on the list can win, assuming the teams above us win or accept an invitation before us at 5 wins.</p><p></p><p><strong>Above us, win or lose, they get in before us:</strong></p><p>Rice</p><p>Auburn</p><p>Missouri</p><p>Michigan State</p><p>Miami (FL)</p><p></p><p><strong>Automatic winners, 5 win teams playing each other:</strong></p><p>Miami (OH) and Ball State are both on the list; Miami (OH) already won...that makes it 2 teams</p><p>App State has two FCS wins and must win vs Georgia Southern, whoever wins will take another spot...that makes it 1 team of all the remaining.</p><p></p><p><strong>Some teams are favored:</strong></p><p>Buffalo vs Kent State</p><p>Louisiana vs Texas State</p><p>UAB vs Louisiana Tech</p><p>Southern Miss vs ULM</p><p></p><p><strong>A few are not favored:</strong></p><p>Vanderbilt vs Tennessee</p><p>Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky</p><p>UTEP vs UTSA</p><p></p><p>I think at least 2 of the 7 teams win and it will likely be 4 or 5. We must beat U(sic)GA to secure our place. Let's shock the world!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTCHE99, post: 917039, member: 6187"] I think the chance is much closer to 0.4%. Basically we have to beat UGA to get a bowl bid or bowl eligible teams will have to decline an invitation. 9 openings, we are 6th in order for APR, so only 3 teams below us on the list can win, assuming the teams above us win or accept an invitation before us at 5 wins. [B]Above us, win or lose, they get in before us:[/B] Rice Auburn Missouri Michigan State Miami (FL) [B]Automatic winners, 5 win teams playing each other:[/B] Miami (OH) and Ball State are both on the list; Miami (OH) already won...that makes it 2 teams App State has two FCS wins and must win vs Georgia Southern, whoever wins will take another spot...that makes it 1 team of all the remaining. [B]Some teams are favored:[/B] Buffalo vs Kent State Louisiana vs Texas State UAB vs Louisiana Tech Southern Miss vs ULM [B]A few are not favored:[/B] Vanderbilt vs Tennessee Florida Atlantic vs Western Kentucky UTEP vs UTSA I think at least 2 of the 7 teams win and it will likely be 4 or 5. We must beat U(sic)GA to secure our place. Let's shock the world! [/QUOTE]
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