RonJohn
Helluva Engineer
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It isn't over yet. But for all of the social media hype about how the Big12 was the third best football conference and that the ACC wasn't better than a G5 conference: It looks like the ACC has a real chance to get 2 teams in the CFP, while the Big12 will only get their champion in. In addition to that, if Boise State wins against Oregon State and the Mountain West championship game, the Big12 champion won't even get a first round bye. They might not even get a home game in the first round.
Before people say I am crazy that the ACC has a chance to get two in:
The Big10 will likely get 4 teams in barring an upset in the final week.
The SEC will likely get 3 in. Texas is probably in no matter what. Tenn needs to beat Vandy and then will be in. The mutts need to beat us, then are likely in. (or lose to us but win the conference championship) A&M needs to win the conference to get in.
ND is likely in if they beat USC.
That leaves 4 spots. G5 only has Boise in the top 12 and if they lose a game they will drop down, so G5 will only get one spot. Big12 is a BIG mess at the moment, and only their conference champion is likely to get in.
That leaves 2 spots. ACC champion will get in. If Miami beats Syracuse and SMU beats Cal, then they will play in the conference championship game. The two loss loser of that game is probably playing an away game in the first round. There are only two things I can see that would upset that. If SC beats Clemson, they might get in. If A&M beats TX and wins the SEC Championship game, then the SEC would likely get 4 teams in. (Unless GT beats the mutts, then they lose to A&M in the championship game also to have 4 losses.)
Before people say I am crazy that the ACC has a chance to get two in:
The Big10 will likely get 4 teams in barring an upset in the final week.
The SEC will likely get 3 in. Texas is probably in no matter what. Tenn needs to beat Vandy and then will be in. The mutts need to beat us, then are likely in. (or lose to us but win the conference championship) A&M needs to win the conference to get in.
ND is likely in if they beat USC.
That leaves 4 spots. G5 only has Boise in the top 12 and if they lose a game they will drop down, so G5 will only get one spot. Big12 is a BIG mess at the moment, and only their conference champion is likely to get in.
That leaves 2 spots. ACC champion will get in. If Miami beats Syracuse and SMU beats Cal, then they will play in the conference championship game. The two loss loser of that game is probably playing an away game in the first round. There are only two things I can see that would upset that. If SC beats Clemson, they might get in. If A&M beats TX and wins the SEC Championship game, then the SEC would likely get 4 teams in. (Unless GT beats the mutts, then they lose to A&M in the championship game also to have 4 losses.)