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<blockquote data-quote="MWBATL" data-source="post: 226876" data-attributes="member: 944"><p>My own projections with two weekends to go, focusing ONLY on spots 6-10 in league play. They top 5 spots are taken (Miami, FSU, Louisville, Virginia, NC State)</p><p></p><p>GT -1 if we can take 1 of 3 vs UVa and 2 of 3 vs BC we finish at -1. Given everything below, it is IMPERATIVE we finish at -1 because I think -3 leaves us out.</p><p>Clemson -2 they are at -1 right now and must visit Notre Dame, They could easily win this series, but I assume host teams win 2 of 3 so I project them to finish at -2. If they win this series they clinch 6th place</p><p>Notre Dame -2 the Irish are still very much in the hunt and are -2 right now going into a road trip to UNC. If they can avoid being swept they will be playing for a spot in the tourney against Clemson</p><p>Wake Forest -2 The Deacs are also -2 right now with a road series at VT and home vs Louisville, going 3-3 is immensely possible to finish at -2.</p><p></p><p>UNC -4 The Heels are -4 and have WF at home and then N C State on the road. Going 3-3 in those games will put them on the brink</p><p>BC -4 They sit at -3 right now with their road series against us their lone remaining games. If they beat us 2 of 3 they would make it in with a -2 while we would be -3</p><p>Duke -4 They sit at -4 like UNC with a home series vs FSU and a road series vs Pitt. Hard to see 4-2 out of that.</p><p></p><p>If it turns out this way...BC gets eliminated because their winning % at 12-16 would be worse than UNC or Duke (each at 13-17). Then, since UNC swept Duke earlier, I think they get the 10th spot.</p><p></p><p>Obviously, one game either way changes a team's plus minus by 2 and changes this whole projection.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MWBATL, post: 226876, member: 944"] My own projections with two weekends to go, focusing ONLY on spots 6-10 in league play. They top 5 spots are taken (Miami, FSU, Louisville, Virginia, NC State) GT -1 if we can take 1 of 3 vs UVa and 2 of 3 vs BC we finish at -1. Given everything below, it is IMPERATIVE we finish at -1 because I think -3 leaves us out. Clemson -2 they are at -1 right now and must visit Notre Dame, They could easily win this series, but I assume host teams win 2 of 3 so I project them to finish at -2. If they win this series they clinch 6th place Notre Dame -2 the Irish are still very much in the hunt and are -2 right now going into a road trip to UNC. If they can avoid being swept they will be playing for a spot in the tourney against Clemson Wake Forest -2 The Deacs are also -2 right now with a road series at VT and home vs Louisville, going 3-3 is immensely possible to finish at -2. UNC -4 The Heels are -4 and have WF at home and then N C State on the road. Going 3-3 in those games will put them on the brink BC -4 They sit at -3 right now with their road series against us their lone remaining games. If they beat us 2 of 3 they would make it in with a -2 while we would be -3 Duke -4 They sit at -4 like UNC with a home series vs FSU and a road series vs Pitt. Hard to see 4-2 out of that. If it turns out this way...BC gets eliminated because their winning % at 12-16 would be worse than UNC or Duke (each at 13-17). Then, since UNC swept Duke earlier, I think they get the 10th spot. Obviously, one game either way changes a team's plus minus by 2 and changes this whole projection. [/QUOTE]
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