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<blockquote data-quote="GTNavyNuke" data-source="post: 150474" data-attributes="member: 322"><p>Looks like we are pretty good for NCAAs (barring a collapse) since we are at 24th right now. Here I read that top 45 RPI last year all made it and even down to 60 ..... "This year I noticed that the seeding was very straightforward. <strong>Every one of the teams in the top 3 seeds came from that group of top-60 RPI teams.</strong> The #4 seeds were all filled by the usual set of conference champions with lower RPI scores, and there were only two instances where a team with a top-45 pRPI was knocked out of a possible #3 seed, as noted below." <a href="http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/region/2014.html" target="_blank">http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/region/2014.html</a></p><p></p><p>I couldn't figure out the exact RPI calculations becasue they are "secret"?! From <a href="http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/faq.html" target="_blank">http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/faq.html</a> </p><p><strong></strong></p><p><strong><em>"What are the RPI's?</em></strong></p><p><em></em></p><p><em>The Ratings Power Index is the official NCAA formula designed to aid the selection committee for each sport in choosing the tournament field. It is based on a combination of a team's winning percentage, their opponents' winning percentage, and their opponents' opponents' winning percentage, with bonuses and penalties involved for road wins against top teams or home losses to lower-ranked teams. The official RPI document for baseball is <a href="http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi.doc" target="_blank">http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi.doc</a> in Microsoft Word format.</em></p><p><em></em></p><p><strong><em>What are the pseudo-RPI's?</em></strong></p><p><em></em></p><p><em>The pseudo-RPI's are my best effort at a simulation of the RPI's. The full formula is not released, but my best guess is that the sizes of the bonuses are .001 for wins over teams between 51 and 75, .0035 for wins over teams between 26 and 50, and .006 for wins over teams between 1 and 25. The winning percentages are not the full winning percentage but rather the average of each opponent's winning percentage. I'm still uncertain about the handling of neutral site games.</em></p><p><em></em></p><p><strong><em>How closely does the selection committee follow the RPI's?</em></strong></p><p><em></em></p><p><em>It varies from year to year -- generally they seem to use it for justification more than guidance. <a href="http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/" target="_blank">Jim Carr</a> has done a good bit of analysis on this."</em></p><p></p><p>For fun, Jim Carr keeps track of how well conferences do. Turns out that both SEC and ACC are over rated in terms of NCAA results the last few years. Here are the 2014 results:</p><p><a href="http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/rank/2014.html" target="_blank">http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/rank/2014.html</a></p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="GTNavyNuke, post: 150474, member: 322"] Looks like we are pretty good for NCAAs (barring a collapse) since we are at 24th right now. Here I read that top 45 RPI last year all made it and even down to 60 ..... "This year I noticed that the seeding was very straightforward. [B]Every one of the teams in the top 3 seeds came from that group of top-60 RPI teams.[/B] The #4 seeds were all filled by the usual set of conference champions with lower RPI scores, and there were only two instances where a team with a top-45 pRPI was knocked out of a possible #3 seed, as noted below." [URL]http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/region/2014.html[/URL] I couldn't figure out the exact RPI calculations becasue they are "secret"?! From [URL]http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/faq.html[/URL] [B] [I]"What are the RPI's?[/I][/B] [I] The Ratings Power Index is the official NCAA formula designed to aid the selection committee for each sport in choosing the tournament field. It is based on a combination of a team's winning percentage, their opponents' winning percentage, and their opponents' opponents' winning percentage, with bonuses and penalties involved for road wins against top teams or home losses to lower-ranked teams. The official RPI document for baseball is [URL]http://www.boydsworld.com/baseball/rpi.doc[/URL] in Microsoft Word format. [/I] [B][I]What are the pseudo-RPI's?[/I][/B] [I] The pseudo-RPI's are my best effort at a simulation of the RPI's. The full formula is not released, but my best guess is that the sizes of the bonuses are .001 for wins over teams between 51 and 75, .0035 for wins over teams between 26 and 50, and .006 for wins over teams between 1 and 25. The winning percentages are not the full winning percentage but rather the average of each opponent's winning percentage. I'm still uncertain about the handling of neutral site games. [/I] [B][I]How closely does the selection committee follow the RPI's?[/I][/B] [I] It varies from year to year -- generally they seem to use it for justification more than guidance. [URL='http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/']Jim Carr[/URL] has done a good bit of analysis on this."[/I] For fun, Jim Carr keeps track of how well conferences do. Turns out that both SEC and ACC are over rated in terms of NCAA results the last few years. Here are the 2014 results: [URL]http://www.nettally.com/jcarr/Baseball/rank/2014.html[/URL] [/QUOTE]
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