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ACC Discussion 2021-22
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<blockquote data-quote="MtnWasp" data-source="post: 833267" data-attributes="member: 4110"><p>Another terrific post!</p><p></p><p>A team wins or loses based only on the play of the guys they have on the floor. What players are gone are irrelevant in forecasting league standings. Who do the teams have?</p><p></p><p>A year ago GT was predicted to finish 8th (or 9th?) in the conference. We had returning Devoe at 16ppg (and honorable mention All ACC), Alvarado at 14.4ppg (All ACC defensive team) and Wright at 13ppg.</p><p></p><p>So, what kind of Senior seasons did Alvarado and Wright have? Alvarado increased his scoring production 0.8ppg and Wright increased his scoring 4.4ppg. Devoe decreased his scoring 1ppg. Do those changes in production tell the story of why we finished 4th in league standings compared to the 8th or 9th that was predicted? Was the progression of the games of Wright and Alvarado so outlandish between their Junior and Senior years that forecasters had no chance to predict it? </p><p></p><p>If forecasters didn't think much of Wright or Alvarado going into last season, how do they now say that they can't be replaced this season when the guys we will put on the court are more highly rated players than the two that left? </p><p></p><p>And forecasting is more than simply summing the returning production and counting the star ratings of the recruits. Forecasters have figured this out with UVA and Bennett. They know better than to bet against Bennett. They are figuring it out for FSU and Leonard Hamilton. But they haven't figured it out for GT and Pastner. I hope our team and coach gives them another reality check up-side their heads this season.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="MtnWasp, post: 833267, member: 4110"] Another terrific post! A team wins or loses based only on the play of the guys they have on the floor. What players are gone are irrelevant in forecasting league standings. Who do the teams have? A year ago GT was predicted to finish 8th (or 9th?) in the conference. We had returning Devoe at 16ppg (and honorable mention All ACC), Alvarado at 14.4ppg (All ACC defensive team) and Wright at 13ppg. So, what kind of Senior seasons did Alvarado and Wright have? Alvarado increased his scoring production 0.8ppg and Wright increased his scoring 4.4ppg. Devoe decreased his scoring 1ppg. Do those changes in production tell the story of why we finished 4th in league standings compared to the 8th or 9th that was predicted? Was the progression of the games of Wright and Alvarado so outlandish between their Junior and Senior years that forecasters had no chance to predict it? If forecasters didn't think much of Wright or Alvarado going into last season, how do they now say that they can't be replaced this season when the guys we will put on the court are more highly rated players than the two that left? And forecasting is more than simply summing the returning production and counting the star ratings of the recruits. Forecasters have figured this out with UVA and Bennett. They know better than to bet against Bennett. They are figuring it out for FSU and Leonard Hamilton. But they haven't figured it out for GT and Pastner. I hope our team and coach gives them another reality check up-side their heads this season. [/QUOTE]
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