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<blockquote data-quote="FredJacket" data-source="post: 376315" data-attributes="member: 2843"><p>I wish I knew why I bother… but it is December, there is no bowl game (for Tech) on the horizon, the ACC basketball action has yet to begin… I guess I “have time on my hands”. I also blame [USER=322]@GTNavyNuke[/USER] for planting the seed on who we’re playing. I took a look at the ACC baseball schedules. I was hoping to see something in there that led me to believe the baseball gods were already looking favorably upon our Jackets by laying out an ACC schedule that is on the easier side (relatively speaking). I think I’ve concluded no such luck.</p><p></p><p>Atlantic</p><p>6 – LOU</p><p>8 – FSU</p><p>10 – WF</p><p>15 – CLEM</p><p>27 – NCST</p><p>84 – BC</p><p>121 – ND</p><p></p><p>Coastal</p><p>5 – UNC</p><p>17 – UVA</p><p>43 – MIA</p><p>75 – GT</p><p>91 – DUKE</p><p>122 – VT</p><p>131 – PITT</p><p></p><p>Obviously, some teams will improve and others fall; but for the sake of this post (here in December)… I used 2017 RPI. The above are the ACC divisions with 2017 RPI rankings. The good news…we are in the Coastal division. The Atlantic is stronger than the Coastal with 4 top 25 teams (plus NCST knocking at the door). The Coastal has 2 top 25 teams. Last year, 5 Atlantic teams made the NCAA tournament and only 2 Coastal teams did. Each team plays 10 ACC series…it includes all the teams in your division (6 series) plus 4 cross-divisional series.</p><p>In order to simplify the analysis, I grouped the conference into 4 “tiers” based on the RPI.</p><p></p><p>Group A: Top 25 RPI</p><p>UNC</p><p>LOU</p><p>FSU</p><p>WF</p><p>CLEM</p><p>UVA</p><p></p><p>Group B: 26-50 RPI</p><p>NCST</p><p>MIA</p><p></p><p>Group C: 51-100 RPI</p><p>GT</p><p>BC</p><p>DUKE</p><p></p><p>Group D: 100+ RPI</p><p>ND</p><p>VT</p><p>PITT</p><p></p><p>Here is the way the Coastal teams fair regarding their 4 cross-divisional opponents. My ranking from MOST difficult schedule to easiest (I did not factor in road/home series…which does matter, I think):</p><p></p><p>UNC: 3xA (LOU, FSU, WF) 1xB (NCST)</p><p>GT: 3xA (FSU, WF, CLEM) 1xB (NCST)</p><p>UVA: 3xA (LOU, WF, CLEM) 1xC (BC)</p><p>DUKE: 2xA (FSU, WF) 1xB (NCST) 1xD (ND)</p><p>PITT: 2xA (LOU, CLEM) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND)</p><p>MIA: 2xA (FSU, CLEM) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND)</p><p>VT: 1xA (LOU) 1xB (NCST) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND)</p><p></p><p>VT really got a break as the ONLY team in the entire conference whose 3 teams they do not play are ALL in Group A. They are not scheduled to play FSU, CLEM and WF.</p><p></p><p>As for the Atlantic:</p><p></p><p>WF: 2xA (UVA, UNC) 2xC (GT, DUKE)</p><p>FSU: 1xA (UNC) 1xB (MIA) 2xC (GT, DUKE)</p><p>LOU: 2xA (UNC, UVA) 2xD (VT, PITT)</p><p>CLEM: 1xA (UVA) 1xB (MIA) 1xC (GT) 1xD (PITT)</p><p>BC: 1xA (UVA) 1xB (MIA) 2xD (VT, PITT)</p><p>NCST: 1xA (UNC) 2xC (GT, DUKE) 1xD (VT)</p><p>ND: 1xB (MIA) 1xC (DUKE) 2xD (VT, PITT)</p><p></p><p>Similar to VT, ND gets break by not drawing any team from Group A in their cross divisional schedule.</p><p></p><p>All that to conclude… frankly, I'm not sure any of this says a particular team or teams has a huge scheduling advantage. The ACC is a tough baseball conference. Saying Coastal is ‘easier’ is relative. Looking at all this with minimal knowledge of which teams gained/lost significant talent on their rosters… I would expect Wake Forest to regress more to the mean and Miami to re-assert themselves. The rest of the field I think will stay basically the same. The ENORMOUS exception is Ga Tech...who WILL be over .500 in ACC play for the 1st time in too long…baseball (scheduling) gods be damned!! GO JACKETS!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FredJacket, post: 376315, member: 2843"] I wish I knew why I bother… but it is December, there is no bowl game (for Tech) on the horizon, the ACC basketball action has yet to begin… I guess I “have time on my hands”. I also blame [USER=322]@GTNavyNuke[/USER] for planting the seed on who we’re playing. I took a look at the ACC baseball schedules. I was hoping to see something in there that led me to believe the baseball gods were already looking favorably upon our Jackets by laying out an ACC schedule that is on the easier side (relatively speaking). I think I’ve concluded no such luck. Atlantic 6 – LOU 8 – FSU 10 – WF 15 – CLEM 27 – NCST 84 – BC 121 – ND Coastal 5 – UNC 17 – UVA 43 – MIA 75 – GT 91 – DUKE 122 – VT 131 – PITT Obviously, some teams will improve and others fall; but for the sake of this post (here in December)… I used 2017 RPI. The above are the ACC divisions with 2017 RPI rankings. The good news…we are in the Coastal division. The Atlantic is stronger than the Coastal with 4 top 25 teams (plus NCST knocking at the door). The Coastal has 2 top 25 teams. Last year, 5 Atlantic teams made the NCAA tournament and only 2 Coastal teams did. Each team plays 10 ACC series…it includes all the teams in your division (6 series) plus 4 cross-divisional series. In order to simplify the analysis, I grouped the conference into 4 “tiers” based on the RPI. Group A: Top 25 RPI UNC LOU FSU WF CLEM UVA Group B: 26-50 RPI NCST MIA Group C: 51-100 RPI GT BC DUKE Group D: 100+ RPI ND VT PITT Here is the way the Coastal teams fair regarding their 4 cross-divisional opponents. My ranking from MOST difficult schedule to easiest (I did not factor in road/home series…which does matter, I think): UNC: 3xA (LOU, FSU, WF) 1xB (NCST) GT: 3xA (FSU, WF, CLEM) 1xB (NCST) UVA: 3xA (LOU, WF, CLEM) 1xC (BC) DUKE: 2xA (FSU, WF) 1xB (NCST) 1xD (ND) PITT: 2xA (LOU, CLEM) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND) MIA: 2xA (FSU, CLEM) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND) VT: 1xA (LOU) 1xB (NCST) 1xC (BC) 1xD (ND) VT really got a break as the ONLY team in the entire conference whose 3 teams they do not play are ALL in Group A. They are not scheduled to play FSU, CLEM and WF. As for the Atlantic: WF: 2xA (UVA, UNC) 2xC (GT, DUKE) FSU: 1xA (UNC) 1xB (MIA) 2xC (GT, DUKE) LOU: 2xA (UNC, UVA) 2xD (VT, PITT) CLEM: 1xA (UVA) 1xB (MIA) 1xC (GT) 1xD (PITT) BC: 1xA (UVA) 1xB (MIA) 2xD (VT, PITT) NCST: 1xA (UNC) 2xC (GT, DUKE) 1xD (VT) ND: 1xB (MIA) 1xC (DUKE) 2xD (VT, PITT) Similar to VT, ND gets break by not drawing any team from Group A in their cross divisional schedule. All that to conclude… frankly, I'm not sure any of this says a particular team or teams has a huge scheduling advantage. The ACC is a tough baseball conference. Saying Coastal is ‘easier’ is relative. Looking at all this with minimal knowledge of which teams gained/lost significant talent on their rosters… I would expect Wake Forest to regress more to the mean and Miami to re-assert themselves. The rest of the field I think will stay basically the same. The ENORMOUS exception is Ga Tech...who WILL be over .500 in ACC play for the 1st time in too long…baseball (scheduling) gods be damned!! GO JACKETS! [/QUOTE]
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