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ACC 2018 Power Rankings--USA Today
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<blockquote data-quote="smathis30" data-source="post: 433783" data-attributes="member: 1803"><p>oh i agree. Every team between 6-11 is neck and neck, with all them teams jumping from 11 to 6 simply if they outperform what my computer expectations were by 1% on both offense and defense. Its a very, very, small gap.</p><p></p><p>Miami is the only team I expect to stay in Tier 2. Louisville is artificially high due to their offense blowing everyone out of the water, so even witha reduction down to 6 starters, they only have an estimated 8% drop off in efficiency with that number, but with Lamar gone, we know common sense will prevail and they will drop harder. Last year, they were 15% higher on Offense than the #25 team, so their offense still looks elite because of that. Them , UCF, and OU were in a league of their own last year.</p><p></p><p>Wake forest and BC are definitely see-it-to-believe it type teams, but BC has had consistently good Defense, and their offense came alive and gave them a 7 win season last year. Wake was inches away from a 9 win season. BC has a super easy OOC this year, with Umass, Temple, Purdue and a FCS team. Purdue should be a challenge, but Boston college does return the most starters from any ACC team this year, at 18. </p><p></p><p>Wake foerst takes on Tulane, Notre Dame, Rice, and a FCS school. So ND is the only written up loss. Behind Clemson's 16, they return the third most starers, and they get the 1st string quarterback back from injury last year. Its important to note that BC is a half step above Tier 3, and a bigger half step below tier 2. For Tier 3 teams to jump up, they need a 7% overpeformance from what my cpu-projection is on both sides of the ball, and a 3% to pass BC. </p><p></p><p>Tier 1-</p><p>Tier 2 (-7%, -11% for BC)</p><p>Tier 3 (-7%, -3% for BC)</p><p>Tier 4 (-5%)</p><p></p><p>Is how that shakes up to be.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="smathis30, post: 433783, member: 1803"] oh i agree. Every team between 6-11 is neck and neck, with all them teams jumping from 11 to 6 simply if they outperform what my computer expectations were by 1% on both offense and defense. Its a very, very, small gap. Miami is the only team I expect to stay in Tier 2. Louisville is artificially high due to their offense blowing everyone out of the water, so even witha reduction down to 6 starters, they only have an estimated 8% drop off in efficiency with that number, but with Lamar gone, we know common sense will prevail and they will drop harder. Last year, they were 15% higher on Offense than the #25 team, so their offense still looks elite because of that. Them , UCF, and OU were in a league of their own last year. Wake forest and BC are definitely see-it-to-believe it type teams, but BC has had consistently good Defense, and their offense came alive and gave them a 7 win season last year. Wake was inches away from a 9 win season. BC has a super easy OOC this year, with Umass, Temple, Purdue and a FCS team. Purdue should be a challenge, but Boston college does return the most starters from any ACC team this year, at 18. Wake foerst takes on Tulane, Notre Dame, Rice, and a FCS school. So ND is the only written up loss. Behind Clemson's 16, they return the third most starers, and they get the 1st string quarterback back from injury last year. Its important to note that BC is a half step above Tier 3, and a bigger half step below tier 2. For Tier 3 teams to jump up, they need a 7% overpeformance from what my cpu-projection is on both sides of the ball, and a 3% to pass BC. Tier 1- Tier 2 (-7%, -11% for BC) Tier 3 (-7%, -3% for BC) Tier 4 (-5%) Is how that shakes up to be. [/QUOTE]
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