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A-Back Rushing Distribution
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<blockquote data-quote="stylee" data-source="post: 35891" data-attributes="member: 882"><p>I've done a little bit of number crunching on A-Back rush attempts in the CPJ era. </p><p>The results aren't shocking or anything, but it was interesting to look at. </p><p></p><p>In 2013, Godhigh accounted for 44% of the rush attempts from the position. This was the highest percentage of A-Back carries since 2008, when Roddy Jones got 53%. In 2013, Days was second in carries and finished with 15%, the lowest total percentage for the second-leading A-Back carrier. Only Cox in 2008 comes close, accounting for only 17% of the carries in that year. </p><p></p><p>Taking out the 2008 and 2013 seasons, our leading carrier will average 34% of the rushes, with second place getting 28%. </p><p></p><p>We had 180 carries from the A-Back position in 2013, 3rd most since 2008 (with the highest being 2009 [191] and 2011 [185]).</p><p></p><p></p><p>What does this mean? </p><p></p><p>In most years, the top A-back is getting a third of the total A-back carries, and the second place guy is not too far behind that. In 2013, Godhigh got a much higher proportion of carries - owing to the fact that he was by far the best threat at the A-Back position. Days' second place finish is likely due more to the fact that his blocking ability kept him on the field more than the remaining guys, rather than his being a better runner (as well as all of Hill's missed games). </p><p></p><p>That makes 2013 a lot like 2008, when Roddy was far and away the best runner at A-Back. </p><p></p><p>In 2014, Godhigh is gone. I'd expect the numbers to fall back to around where they were in 09-12. In fact, I think the A-Backs now are much closer than the A-Backs in those years, and so the leading carrier may even have less of the pie.</p><p></p><p>For now, I'll make a wild guess: </p><p></p><p>Deon Hill: 30%</p><p>Perkins: 25%</p><p>Everyone else: 45%</p><p></p><p></p><p>Data from ESPN. Had to make a few guesses. I think Lucas Cox was back as a backup BB in 2010, so I didn't include his 20+ carries from that year. I know he was doing both in 09. Everything rounded to nearest whole - I don't have a Tech degree, so someone smarter can me can do better with the numbers.</p><p>-----------------------------------------------------------------</p><p> </p><p><strong>2013</strong>:</p><p>Godhigh – 79</p><p>Andrews – 12</p><p>Hill – 13</p><p>Bostic – 16</p><p>Perkins – 13</p><p>Days – 27</p><p>Zenon – 14</p><p>Willis- 2</p><p>McClellan – 2</p><p>McNearny - 2</p><p>Total: 180</p><p>Godhigh: 44%</p><p>Days: 15%</p><p></p><p><strong>2012</strong>:</p><p>Godhigh: 54</p><p>Bostic: 34</p><p>Zenon: 31</p><p>Days: 23</p><p>Hill: 6</p><p>Paige: 3</p><p>Total: 151</p><p>Godhigh: 36%</p><p>Bostic: 23%</p><p></p><p><strong>2011</strong>:</p><p>Smith: 61</p><p>Peebles: 47</p><p>Jones: 57</p><p>Zenon: 15</p><p>Godhigh: 2</p><p>J. Thomas?: 2</p><p>Hill: 1</p><p>Total: 185</p><p>Smith: 33%</p><p>Jones: 31%</p><p></p><p><strong>2010</strong>:</p><p>Smith: 53</p><p>Jones: 52</p><p>Peebles: 46</p><p>Bostic: 13</p><p>Wright: 6</p><p>Paige: 1</p><p>Total: 171</p><p>Smith: 31%</p><p>Jones: 30%</p><p></p><p><strong>2009</strong>:</p><p>Allen: 64</p><p>Jones: 53</p><p>Wright: 33</p><p>Peebles: 31</p><p>Malone: 1</p><p>Cox: 9</p><p>Total: 191</p><p>Allen: 34%</p><p>Jones: 28%</p><p></p><p><strong>2008</strong>:</p><p>Jones: 81</p><p>Cox: 26</p><p>Smith: 13</p><p>Peebles: 14</p><p>Q. Kelly: 14</p><p>Wright: 4</p><p>Total: 152</p><p>Jones: 53%</p><p>Cox: 17%</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="stylee, post: 35891, member: 882"] I've done a little bit of number crunching on A-Back rush attempts in the CPJ era. The results aren't shocking or anything, but it was interesting to look at. In 2013, Godhigh accounted for 44% of the rush attempts from the position. This was the highest percentage of A-Back carries since 2008, when Roddy Jones got 53%. In 2013, Days was second in carries and finished with 15%, the lowest total percentage for the second-leading A-Back carrier. Only Cox in 2008 comes close, accounting for only 17% of the carries in that year. Taking out the 2008 and 2013 seasons, our leading carrier will average 34% of the rushes, with second place getting 28%. We had 180 carries from the A-Back position in 2013, 3rd most since 2008 (with the highest being 2009 [191] and 2011 [185]). What does this mean? In most years, the top A-back is getting a third of the total A-back carries, and the second place guy is not too far behind that. In 2013, Godhigh got a much higher proportion of carries - owing to the fact that he was by far the best threat at the A-Back position. Days' second place finish is likely due more to the fact that his blocking ability kept him on the field more than the remaining guys, rather than his being a better runner (as well as all of Hill's missed games). That makes 2013 a lot like 2008, when Roddy was far and away the best runner at A-Back. In 2014, Godhigh is gone. I'd expect the numbers to fall back to around where they were in 09-12. In fact, I think the A-Backs now are much closer than the A-Backs in those years, and so the leading carrier may even have less of the pie. For now, I'll make a wild guess: Deon Hill: 30% Perkins: 25% Everyone else: 45% Data from ESPN. Had to make a few guesses. I think Lucas Cox was back as a backup BB in 2010, so I didn't include his 20+ carries from that year. I know he was doing both in 09. Everything rounded to nearest whole - I don't have a Tech degree, so someone smarter can me can do better with the numbers. ----------------------------------------------------------------- [B]2013[/B]: Godhigh – 79 Andrews – 12 Hill – 13 Bostic – 16 Perkins – 13 Days – 27 Zenon – 14 Willis- 2 McClellan – 2 McNearny - 2 Total: 180 Godhigh: 44% Days: 15% [B]2012[/B]: Godhigh: 54 Bostic: 34 Zenon: 31 Days: 23 Hill: 6 Paige: 3 Total: 151 Godhigh: 36% Bostic: 23% [B]2011[/B]: Smith: 61 Peebles: 47 Jones: 57 Zenon: 15 Godhigh: 2 J. Thomas?: 2 Hill: 1 Total: 185 Smith: 33% Jones: 31% [B]2010[/B]: Smith: 53 Jones: 52 Peebles: 46 Bostic: 13 Wright: 6 Paige: 1 Total: 171 Smith: 31% Jones: 30% [B]2009[/B]: Allen: 64 Jones: 53 Wright: 33 Peebles: 31 Malone: 1 Cox: 9 Total: 191 Allen: 34% Jones: 28% [B]2008[/B]: Jones: 81 Cox: 26 Smith: 13 Peebles: 14 Q. Kelly: 14 Wright: 4 Total: 152 Jones: 53% Cox: 17% [/QUOTE]
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