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5 star guys versus 0 star guys
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<blockquote data-quote="RonJohn" data-source="post: 274586" data-attributes="member: 2426"><p>That is where we actually disagree. I am not some nutter with no understanding of statistics. A mutt fan at Christmas dinner told me that they are MNC contenders next year because they just got a commitment from the top rated ILB in the nation. That is the kind of insane hype that the recruiting services intentionally project. They make money because people want to hear what "will" happen next year. They won't pay for someone to give them actual analysis. They don't want to hear something with decent statistical accuracy, they want to hear the reasons that their team "will" win next year. The whole business is much more similar to the "never missed on his Monday Night lock of the year" commercials than actual analysis. Commentators who pick games usually keep stats as to which of the commentators picks the best, which indicates that they know they are not perfect. The ratings services depend on some mythical misunderstanding of what they actually do to keep their subscriber base high. If a ratings service publicly accurately described their process and how limited their information is, I would have more respect for them. However, I would still not subscribe and many of their current subscribers would move to another service that still projected mythology.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="RonJohn, post: 274586, member: 2426"] That is where we actually disagree. I am not some nutter with no understanding of statistics. A mutt fan at Christmas dinner told me that they are MNC contenders next year because they just got a commitment from the top rated ILB in the nation. That is the kind of insane hype that the recruiting services intentionally project. They make money because people want to hear what "will" happen next year. They won't pay for someone to give them actual analysis. They don't want to hear something with decent statistical accuracy, they want to hear the reasons that their team "will" win next year. The whole business is much more similar to the "never missed on his Monday Night lock of the year" commercials than actual analysis. Commentators who pick games usually keep stats as to which of the commentators picks the best, which indicates that they know they are not perfect. The ratings services depend on some mythical misunderstanding of what they actually do to keep their subscriber base high. If a ratings service publicly accurately described their process and how limited their information is, I would have more respect for them. However, I would still not subscribe and many of their current subscribers would move to another service that still projected mythology. [/QUOTE]
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