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2024 Schedule Difficulty - Projections per CFN
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<blockquote data-quote="TechPhi97" data-source="post: 1010263" data-attributes="member: 158"><p>How do you calculate Ease of Schedule? Specifically, how do you measure the "talent of the team". That's why this is stupid. Strength of Schedule is a flawed but measurable way to compare two teams outside of a playoff system for some sort of post season award or inclusion in a playoff, so how would you numerically measure the talent of FSU vs. Bama vs. Ohio State? Through subjective recruiting rankings of prior year's classes and individuals that have been conducted over the past 5 years, I guess. But I don't see how that's better than comparing it to actual results of teams playing teams from the current year.</p><p></p><p>To be clear, I don't think Strength of Schedule can be calculated until near the middle of the year anyway. I think Sagarin would say something similar - maybe week 8? </p><p></p><p>Perhaps you can explain how you calculate Ease of Schedule and apply it (with returning production) to make betting moves? I'm ready to be a believer, but I'm skeptical that you only bet on 10 games last year (for the entire season?) and that you went 10-0. For the record, I don't think there is any way to systematically use prior statistics to get a 1.000 batting average in college football betting.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TechPhi97, post: 1010263, member: 158"] How do you calculate Ease of Schedule? Specifically, how do you measure the "talent of the team". That's why this is stupid. Strength of Schedule is a flawed but measurable way to compare two teams outside of a playoff system for some sort of post season award or inclusion in a playoff, so how would you numerically measure the talent of FSU vs. Bama vs. Ohio State? Through subjective recruiting rankings of prior year's classes and individuals that have been conducted over the past 5 years, I guess. But I don't see how that's better than comparing it to actual results of teams playing teams from the current year. To be clear, I don't think Strength of Schedule can be calculated until near the middle of the year anyway. I think Sagarin would say something similar - maybe week 8? Perhaps you can explain how you calculate Ease of Schedule and apply it (with returning production) to make betting moves? I'm ready to be a believer, but I'm skeptical that you only bet on 10 games last year (for the entire season?) and that you went 10-0. For the record, I don't think there is any way to systematically use prior statistics to get a 1.000 batting average in college football betting. [/QUOTE]
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2024 Schedule Difficulty - Projections per CFN
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