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<blockquote data-quote="JacketOff" data-source="post: 862752" data-attributes="member: 4572"><p>IMO the randomness in the game of baseball itself means that preseason rankings will never be able to accurately predict how the season will play out. In football and basketball (especially at the college level) the team with the most talent will win most of time no matter what. That’s not necessarily the case in baseball. </p><p></p><p>Also the fact that one of your best players may only play in 1 out of every 4-5 games if he’s a pitcher. I mean missing 3-4 games in a row in any other sport would mean trouble with an injury, discipline issues, so some other factor. But with baseball it’s just what’s expected out of starting pitchers. The way the MLB draft works also plays a role, both with HS and college draftees. A kid with first round talent out of HS will probably never see a college campus, which means the ceiling of talent is a lot lower in baseball than it is is football or basketball, where they <em><strong>have </strong></em>to go at least 1 year (or 3). And for college guys, there’s virtually never any incentive to stay for your senior year if you’re a draft hopeful, so the oldest and most developed players get phased out of programs a year early. That gives mid majors a much more legitimate chance if they can develop older players or dip into jucos to compete with the bigger programs who usually have more younger guys playing. </p><p></p><p>You could pretty much write in the same 25 teams for every football preseason rankings and at least half of them will be there at the end of the year. There’s just too many variables in baseball for that to be the case.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="JacketOff, post: 862752, member: 4572"] IMO the randomness in the game of baseball itself means that preseason rankings will never be able to accurately predict how the season will play out. In football and basketball (especially at the college level) the team with the most talent will win most of time no matter what. That’s not necessarily the case in baseball. Also the fact that one of your best players may only play in 1 out of every 4-5 games if he’s a pitcher. I mean missing 3-4 games in a row in any other sport would mean trouble with an injury, discipline issues, so some other factor. But with baseball it’s just what’s expected out of starting pitchers. The way the MLB draft works also plays a role, both with HS and college draftees. A kid with first round talent out of HS will probably never see a college campus, which means the ceiling of talent is a lot lower in baseball than it is is football or basketball, where they [I][B]have [/B][/I]to go at least 1 year (or 3). And for college guys, there’s virtually never any incentive to stay for your senior year if you’re a draft hopeful, so the oldest and most developed players get phased out of programs a year early. That gives mid majors a much more legitimate chance if they can develop older players or dip into jucos to compete with the bigger programs who usually have more younger guys playing. You could pretty much write in the same 25 teams for every football preseason rankings and at least half of them will be there at the end of the year. There’s just too many variables in baseball for that to be the case. [/QUOTE]
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