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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 842022" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>I have these stats at hand, and people have been talking about where we're strong on offense or defense, so let's look at EPA (PPA) for some ACC teams. Glossary at <a href="https://collegefootballdata.com/glossary#ExpectedPoints" target="_blank">https://collegefootballdata.com/glossary#ExpectedPoints</a>, which is where I got the data from. </p><p></p><p>You want to be low or even negative on defense, and as high as possible on offense. </p><p></p><p>This is the Georgia Tech Expected Points Added (Predicted Points Added) for 2021. I highlighted our passing defense, because it's a "hooo-boy, somebody's going to either score points or move the ball a ton that way". It's stats, but it's the stats equivalent of "why would someone run the ball against us"?</p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td>0.2</td><td>0.258</td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td>0.13</td><td>0.058</td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td>0.296</td><td><strong>0.532</strong></td></tr></table><p></p><p>Here's Clemson. On defense, they're "you should not run on us; passing is tough, but rushing is a mistake". On offense, overall they're terrible, but their passing game is a wreck. </p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td><strong>0.077</strong></td><td>0.023</td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td>0.105</td><td>-0.06</td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td><strong>0.058</strong></td><td>0.103</td></tr></table><p></p><p>Here's Pitt. If you go to the original site, they're nice and green in all the squares. They pass the ball really well, and run the ball better than us. On defense, they're also nice and green except for pass defense. </p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td>0.352</td><td>0.055</td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td>0.195</td><td>-0.007</td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td>0.494</td><td>0.112</td></tr></table><p></p><p>Duke's offense isn't terrible, it's just meh across the board. Their defense is much worse than ours. We can at least defend the run--they can't do that. </p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td>0.177</td><td><strong>0.383</strong></td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td>0.141</td><td><strong>0.273</strong></td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td>0.254</td><td><strong>0.557</strong></td></tr></table><p></p><p>Louisville is balanced and all green on offense, and meh on defense. When I say "meh", it's not like us or Duke who are terrible, but it's not a difference maker. </p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td>0.325</td><td>0.206</td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td>0.268</td><td>0.225</td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td>0.4</td><td>0.191</td></tr></table><p></p><p>Virginia is a wreck on defense. They're worse than us overall (but better on pass defense). They're all systems go on offense, though. </p><table style='width: 100%'><tr><th></th><th>Offense</th><th>Defense</th></tr><tr><td>All</td><td><strong>0.334</strong></td><td>0.295</td></tr><tr><td>Rushing</td><td><strong>0.283</strong></td><td>0.246</td></tr><tr><td>Passing</td><td><strong>0.382</strong></td><td>0.416</td></tr></table><p></p><p>In a nutshell, if you're going to fix any gaping hole on our team, it's pass defense--pass rush, pass coverage, the whole thing.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 842022, member: 282"] I have these stats at hand, and people have been talking about where we're strong on offense or defense, so let's look at EPA (PPA) for some ACC teams. Glossary at [URL]https://collegefootballdata.com/glossary#ExpectedPoints[/URL], which is where I got the data from. You want to be low or even negative on defense, and as high as possible on offense. This is the Georgia Tech Expected Points Added (Predicted Points Added) for 2021. I highlighted our passing defense, because it's a "hooo-boy, somebody's going to either score points or move the ball a ton that way". It's stats, but it's the stats equivalent of "why would someone run the ball against us"? [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD]0.2[/TD] [TD]0.258[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD]0.13[/TD] [TD]0.058[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD]0.296[/TD] [TD][B]0.532[/B][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Here's Clemson. On defense, they're "you should not run on us; passing is tough, but rushing is a mistake". On offense, overall they're terrible, but their passing game is a wreck. [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD][B]0.077[/B][/TD] [TD]0.023[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD]0.105[/TD] [TD]-0.06[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD][B]0.058[/B][/TD] [TD]0.103[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Here's Pitt. If you go to the original site, they're nice and green in all the squares. They pass the ball really well, and run the ball better than us. On defense, they're also nice and green except for pass defense. [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD]0.352[/TD] [TD]0.055[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD]0.195[/TD] [TD]-0.007[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD]0.494[/TD] [TD]0.112[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Duke's offense isn't terrible, it's just meh across the board. Their defense is much worse than ours. We can at least defend the run--they can't do that. [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD]0.177[/TD] [TD][B]0.383[/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD]0.141[/TD] [TD][B]0.273[/B][/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD]0.254[/TD] [TD][B]0.557[/B][/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Louisville is balanced and all green on offense, and meh on defense. When I say "meh", it's not like us or Duke who are terrible, but it's not a difference maker. [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD]0.325[/TD] [TD]0.206[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD]0.268[/TD] [TD]0.225[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD]0.4[/TD] [TD]0.191[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] Virginia is a wreck on defense. They're worse than us overall (but better on pass defense). They're all systems go on offense, though. [TABLE] [TR] [TH][/TH] [TH]Offense[/TH] [TH]Defense[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]All[/TD] [TD][B]0.334[/B][/TD] [TD]0.295[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Rushing[/TD] [TD][B]0.283[/B][/TD] [TD]0.246[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]Passing[/TD] [TD][B]0.382[/B][/TD] [TD]0.416[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] In a nutshell, if you're going to fix any gaping hole on our team, it's pass defense--pass rush, pass coverage, the whole thing. [/QUOTE]
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