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<blockquote data-quote="slugboy" data-source="post: 841340" data-attributes="member: 282"><p>I’m on a tablet right now, so I don’t have as much edit freedom as I would on a laptop, but I saw F+ offense vs defense stats today, and I wondered where we would land (not well, I’d think)</p><p></p><p>I ran a simpler PPA (Predicted Points Added, same as EPA) chart. The horizontal is offense, and you want to be as far to the right on that as possible (every play is big time). The vertical is defensive PPA, and it’s the opposite—you want to give up as little as possible. </p><p>UVA is about the worst on defense, and about the best on offense. Clemson is the reverse, and that puts them in the middle—interesting games, and a middling bowl. </p><p>This year is not something for Tony Elliot (Clemson’s OC) to put on his resume; it might be a reason for him to update his resume, though. </p><p>Wake is as bad on defense as we are, but their offense is great, and that puts them in contention. </p><p>We’re nearly the bottom of the conference, but Duke is at the bottom in a class by themselves. </p><p>So, with an efficient offense, we’re bowling. We’re an average offense, but we’re feast or famine. We need to either feast a lot more or cut out the famines. With an above average defense, we’re bowling. We’re a terrible defense—not just statistically, but by the eye test too. </p><p>We’re close to VT and Miami, not that they’re anything to brag about. One of their coaches got fired, and the other one might. </p><p>Pitt is the class of the conference this year, but Wake and UVA play well enough on offense to upset them, and NCST is the same on defense.</p><p>[ATTACH=full]11602[/ATTACH]</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="slugboy, post: 841340, member: 282"] I’m on a tablet right now, so I don’t have as much edit freedom as I would on a laptop, but I saw F+ offense vs defense stats today, and I wondered where we would land (not well, I’d think) I ran a simpler PPA (Predicted Points Added, same as EPA) chart. The horizontal is offense, and you want to be as far to the right on that as possible (every play is big time). The vertical is defensive PPA, and it’s the opposite—you want to give up as little as possible. UVA is about the worst on defense, and about the best on offense. Clemson is the reverse, and that puts them in the middle—interesting games, and a middling bowl. This year is not something for Tony Elliot (Clemson’s OC) to put on his resume; it might be a reason for him to update his resume, though. Wake is as bad on defense as we are, but their offense is great, and that puts them in contention. We’re nearly the bottom of the conference, but Duke is at the bottom in a class by themselves. So, with an efficient offense, we’re bowling. We’re an average offense, but we’re feast or famine. We need to either feast a lot more or cut out the famines. With an above average defense, we’re bowling. We’re a terrible defense—not just statistically, but by the eye test too. We’re close to VT and Miami, not that they’re anything to brag about. One of their coaches got fired, and the other one might. Pitt is the class of the conference this year, but Wake and UVA play well enough on offense to upset them, and NCST is the same on defense. [ATTACH type="full"]11602[/ATTACH] [/QUOTE]
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