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<blockquote data-quote="FredJacket" data-source="post: 569262" data-attributes="member: 2843"><p>With an eye toward the ACC Tournament and looking at the ACC standings, here are some thoughts:</p><p>- Big advantage to be one of the top 4 seeds (i.e top seed in your assigned pool...there are 3 teams per pool). IF you are top seed in your pool and pool play results in 3-way tie (all 3 teams 1-1), the top seed gets through to the semi-final round. [Note: I do not believe this has happened in ACCT since going to 4 pool format. So far, there has always been a 2-0 team in each pool... never the 3 x 1-1 situation]</p><p>- How are we looking re: Top 4 seed? Good news... if tourney started today we'd be #2 overall seed as Coastal Champs (current record 13-8). The reality...there are 9 ACC teams with 11 or more wins. Plenty of baseball left.</p><p>- Without noodling through all the tiebreaker scenarios... I think it is fair to say we care the most about the following to improve our chances of favorable tiebreaker stuff: 1) Louisville continuing to win ACC games; 2) Miami losing ACC games; 3) Ga Tech needs to go 5-1 (or better) v Duke/Pitt...we will suffer in just about any 3-way tiebreaker scenarios (involving Miami...and we lose 2-way with them) within Coastal if we do not sweep a Coastal opponent. Basically.. UNC and Miami have better Coastal winning % right now... we need to improve ours.</p><p>- Winning series v Clemson is pretty important too... If we fail to 'win' Coastal, thus not locking into the #2 seed, the Atlantic is in position to be #1, #3, #4 seeds. Need the head-to-head advantage over Clemson if it comes to that (tie-break with Clemson).</p><p>- The obvious is pull for both Miami and UNC to lose. I expect the Coastal to be won on the final weekend. Quite possible/likely Ga Tech will enter that weekend (v Pitt) neck/neck with UNC who play NCST in Chapel Hill.</p><p>- It still seems 19-11 (for Ga Tech) should be enough to win Coastal. That is a finish of 6-3 (v Clem, at Duke, v Pitt). Need to go 7-2 IF: 1) You think UNC can go 7-2 (v UVA, at Pitt, NCST); and/or 2) You think Miami can go 8-1 (v VT, at WF, v Duke).</p><p></p><p>Just for some happy context. Last year at this time... we'd just been swept by UNC and were 9-12 in the ACC and discussing what was best place to end up for ACCT (#8 seed was the top end thought...which we actually managed to reach).</p><p></p><p>Go JACKETS... just win!</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="FredJacket, post: 569262, member: 2843"] With an eye toward the ACC Tournament and looking at the ACC standings, here are some thoughts: - Big advantage to be one of the top 4 seeds (i.e top seed in your assigned pool...there are 3 teams per pool). IF you are top seed in your pool and pool play results in 3-way tie (all 3 teams 1-1), the top seed gets through to the semi-final round. [Note: I do not believe this has happened in ACCT since going to 4 pool format. So far, there has always been a 2-0 team in each pool... never the 3 x 1-1 situation] - How are we looking re: Top 4 seed? Good news... if tourney started today we'd be #2 overall seed as Coastal Champs (current record 13-8). The reality...there are 9 ACC teams with 11 or more wins. Plenty of baseball left. - Without noodling through all the tiebreaker scenarios... I think it is fair to say we care the most about the following to improve our chances of favorable tiebreaker stuff: 1) Louisville continuing to win ACC games; 2) Miami losing ACC games; 3) Ga Tech needs to go 5-1 (or better) v Duke/Pitt...we will suffer in just about any 3-way tiebreaker scenarios (involving Miami...and we lose 2-way with them) within Coastal if we do not sweep a Coastal opponent. Basically.. UNC and Miami have better Coastal winning % right now... we need to improve ours. - Winning series v Clemson is pretty important too... If we fail to 'win' Coastal, thus not locking into the #2 seed, the Atlantic is in position to be #1, #3, #4 seeds. Need the head-to-head advantage over Clemson if it comes to that (tie-break with Clemson). - The obvious is pull for both Miami and UNC to lose. I expect the Coastal to be won on the final weekend. Quite possible/likely Ga Tech will enter that weekend (v Pitt) neck/neck with UNC who play NCST in Chapel Hill. - It still seems 19-11 (for Ga Tech) should be enough to win Coastal. That is a finish of 6-3 (v Clem, at Duke, v Pitt). Need to go 7-2 IF: 1) You think UNC can go 7-2 (v UVA, at Pitt, NCST); and/or 2) You think Miami can go 8-1 (v VT, at WF, v Duke). Just for some happy context. Last year at this time... we'd just been swept by UNC and were 9-12 in the ACC and discussing what was best place to end up for ACCT (#8 seed was the top end thought...which we actually managed to reach). Go JACKETS... just win! [/QUOTE]
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