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2015 Warmest Year on Record
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<blockquote data-quote="takethepoints" data-source="post: 724975" data-attributes="member: 265"><p>1. Yes. Good point, if the alternative would actually address the problem. I haven't seen anything here that does. But, admittedly, that depends on the time horizons for an actual catastrophe and how bad you think it will be. Me, I'm conservative on this and very aware of tail risks. One bad decision could wipe out a good part of humanity. Soooo … I'm for aggressive strategies that aren't as dependent on market processes. but opinions do differ on this.</p><p></p><p>2. What the thread is full of is tons of links to tendentious articles <em>about</em> studies and very few to the actual reputable work done that might lead to questions about the consensus. One of the reasons I called for more links to the research about "fraud" and such is that I know how uncertain a lot of it is; just like the research in the consensus, it is about interpretations of present data that give some insight into the future. Then, as said above, it is a matter of how much attention you pay to tail risk.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="takethepoints, post: 724975, member: 265"] 1. Yes. Good point, if the alternative would actually address the problem. I haven't seen anything here that does. But, admittedly, that depends on the time horizons for an actual catastrophe and how bad you think it will be. Me, I'm conservative on this and very aware of tail risks. One bad decision could wipe out a good part of humanity. Soooo … I'm for aggressive strategies that aren't as dependent on market processes. but opinions do differ on this. 2. What the thread is full of is tons of links to tendentious articles [I]about[/I] studies and very few to the actual reputable work done that might lead to questions about the consensus. One of the reasons I called for more links to the research about "fraud" and such is that I know how uncertain a lot of it is; just like the research in the consensus, it is about interpretations of present data that give some insight into the future. Then, as said above, it is a matter of how much attention you pay to tail risk. [/QUOTE]
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