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2015 Warmest Year on Record
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<blockquote data-quote="TampaBuzz" data-source="post: 684285" data-attributes="member: 1117"><p>I guess that depends on your definition of catastrophe. I point you to this article regarding a study by the Corps of Engineers that suggests that sea level rise in the Florida Keys could approach 20 - 40 inches by 2070. </p><p><a href="https://keysweekly.com/42/results-will-determine-which-flood-sea-level-projects-to-prioritize/" target="_blank">https://keysweekly.com/42/results-will-determine-which-flood-sea-level-projects-to-prioritize/</a></p><p></p><p>If even partially correct (maybe it is only 18 inches), the Florida Keys won't exist as we know it today in 40 or 50 years. The projects that the USACE will recommend will be things like raising US1 and raising key infrastructure like sanitary sewer facilities. I have seen cost estimates to raise US1 to protect against the worst case sea level rise predictions that are in the neighborhood of $60M per mile - and implementation would rely on a match from the federal government. Guess what, the chances of those projects getting funding by the Fed close to zero and Monroe County doesn't have anywhere near the tax base needed to generate the needed funds. And the study doesn't even consider all the side streets, businesses, and homes. 300 something homes in Key Largo are just the start....<a href="https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a29954297/florida-keys-climate-change-king-tide-key-largo/" target="_blank">https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a29954297/florida-keys-climate-change-king-tide-key-largo/</a> Feel free to laugh at the source, but it doesn't change the facts. How many homes and businesses in the Keys will become permanently inaccessible in the next 20 - 50 years? Will FEMA buy out every home? Will a bank provide a mortgage if the homeowner can find a buyer? Will an insurance company provide coverage? How many people will lose a lifetime of investment (and how much of your tax money will be used to buy them out)? Where will the drinking water come from if salt water intrusion makes the current potable water supply wells unusable?</p><p></p><p>Then multiply the problem in Key Largo by Jacksonville, Cocoa Beach (NASA), West Palm Beach, Miami, Naples, Tampa (home of Central Command at elevation about 4-feet), in Florida alone. What happens to all those Florida port facilities and airports? What if the levies around New Orleans can't be built high enough? Are we going to just abandon all/parts of that great city? What if large parts of Galveston/Houston are permanently inundated and can't be protected? Who is gonna pay to move all those refineries and chemical plants? The risk of extreme long-term economic losses seems to be very high. It is beyond me that there are folks around that just want to pretend the problem doesn't exist.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TampaBuzz, post: 684285, member: 1117"] I guess that depends on your definition of catastrophe. I point you to this article regarding a study by the Corps of Engineers that suggests that sea level rise in the Florida Keys could approach 20 - 40 inches by 2070. [URL]https://keysweekly.com/42/results-will-determine-which-flood-sea-level-projects-to-prioritize/[/URL] If even partially correct (maybe it is only 18 inches), the Florida Keys won't exist as we know it today in 40 or 50 years. The projects that the USACE will recommend will be things like raising US1 and raising key infrastructure like sanitary sewer facilities. I have seen cost estimates to raise US1 to protect against the worst case sea level rise predictions that are in the neighborhood of $60M per mile - and implementation would rely on a match from the federal government. Guess what, the chances of those projects getting funding by the Fed close to zero and Monroe County doesn't have anywhere near the tax base needed to generate the needed funds. And the study doesn't even consider all the side streets, businesses, and homes. 300 something homes in Key Largo are just the start....[URL]https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/a29954297/florida-keys-climate-change-king-tide-key-largo/[/URL] Feel free to laugh at the source, but it doesn't change the facts. How many homes and businesses in the Keys will become permanently inaccessible in the next 20 - 50 years? Will FEMA buy out every home? Will a bank provide a mortgage if the homeowner can find a buyer? Will an insurance company provide coverage? How many people will lose a lifetime of investment (and how much of your tax money will be used to buy them out)? Where will the drinking water come from if salt water intrusion makes the current potable water supply wells unusable? Then multiply the problem in Key Largo by Jacksonville, Cocoa Beach (NASA), West Palm Beach, Miami, Naples, Tampa (home of Central Command at elevation about 4-feet), in Florida alone. What happens to all those Florida port facilities and airports? What if the levies around New Orleans can't be built high enough? Are we going to just abandon all/parts of that great city? What if large parts of Galveston/Houston are permanently inundated and can't be protected? Who is gonna pay to move all those refineries and chemical plants? The risk of extreme long-term economic losses seems to be very high. It is beyond me that there are folks around that just want to pretend the problem doesn't exist. [/QUOTE]
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