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2015 Warmest Year on Record
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<blockquote data-quote="TampaBuzz" data-source="post: 426242" data-attributes="member: 1117"><p>Very true....I think it was 12 years or so without a category 3 or higher hitting the US. We were very fortunate (for US anyway) that the bigger storms in those years either hit Mexico, weakened before making landfall in the US or stayed offshore in the Atlantic. </p><p></p><p>I think that the weather forecasters at NOAA and in Tampa do a very good job of providing us information on the potential storm tracks and intensity and I trust that they are gonna be pretty darn accurate with their information and plan accordingly. Similarly, I trust climate scientists when they report that sea levels are rising. In coastal community all over Florida and the Gulf coast, hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent to protect the infrastructure against sea level rise; we have to plan for it or our local economies will be devastated. I read all sorts of debates (primarily at the state/federal levels of government) about the "accuracy" of the sea level rise predictions. I get it, there is a level of uncertainty in any model based prediction; but honestly to me, it doesn't matter if the prediction is 100% accurate - if the prediction is 3 feet of sea level rise in 50 years and the actual turns out to be 2.5 feet, we will still have major problems with drowned utilities, increased flooding, increased insurance rates, etc. etc. etc. - and we won't know for sure until after I am dead and gone.</p><p></p><p>It seems that some (majority in Florida) of our state and federal politicians are willing to gamble the future of our coastal states and communities by betting that sea level rise isn't occurring because ......why? All of the data are wrong? I'll be dead and gone? Scientists are participating in a global conspiracy? Any action will require a tax increase? It occurs naturally, so it doesn't matter? Coastal communities are not important to our economy? Did you see that blizzard yesterday? Some businesses might be required to reduce pollution emissions? The sea level rise predictions are too high? We will have to find alternative sources of energy? If I take action, I won't get any payola and will lose the next primary? It won't effect me or my constituents?</p><p></p><p>Ok....I am having some fun with reasons to pretend sea level rise is not occurring. But I do live and work in stormwater management in coastal communities in Florida - and I know that the threat is real. We can debate about causes; we can debate about the accuracy of the predictions; we can debate about a lot of things - but it doesn't make the threat less real to coastal communities and the long-term economy of our country.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="TampaBuzz, post: 426242, member: 1117"] Very true....I think it was 12 years or so without a category 3 or higher hitting the US. We were very fortunate (for US anyway) that the bigger storms in those years either hit Mexico, weakened before making landfall in the US or stayed offshore in the Atlantic. I think that the weather forecasters at NOAA and in Tampa do a very good job of providing us information on the potential storm tracks and intensity and I trust that they are gonna be pretty darn accurate with their information and plan accordingly. Similarly, I trust climate scientists when they report that sea levels are rising. In coastal community all over Florida and the Gulf coast, hundreds of millions of dollars are being spent to protect the infrastructure against sea level rise; we have to plan for it or our local economies will be devastated. I read all sorts of debates (primarily at the state/federal levels of government) about the "accuracy" of the sea level rise predictions. I get it, there is a level of uncertainty in any model based prediction; but honestly to me, it doesn't matter if the prediction is 100% accurate - if the prediction is 3 feet of sea level rise in 50 years and the actual turns out to be 2.5 feet, we will still have major problems with drowned utilities, increased flooding, increased insurance rates, etc. etc. etc. - and we won't know for sure until after I am dead and gone. It seems that some (majority in Florida) of our state and federal politicians are willing to gamble the future of our coastal states and communities by betting that sea level rise isn't occurring because ......why? All of the data are wrong? I'll be dead and gone? Scientists are participating in a global conspiracy? Any action will require a tax increase? It occurs naturally, so it doesn't matter? Coastal communities are not important to our economy? Did you see that blizzard yesterday? Some businesses might be required to reduce pollution emissions? The sea level rise predictions are too high? We will have to find alternative sources of energy? If I take action, I won't get any payola and will lose the next primary? It won't effect me or my constituents? Ok....I am having some fun with reasons to pretend sea level rise is not occurring. But I do live and work in stormwater management in coastal communities in Florida - and I know that the threat is real. We can debate about causes; we can debate about the accuracy of the predictions; we can debate about a lot of things - but it doesn't make the threat less real to coastal communities and the long-term economy of our country. [/QUOTE]
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